Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 862 (#478) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 880 (#451) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 844 (#658) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.8 (#182) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.4 (#342) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.131 (#519) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.144 (#384) | NetEff -13.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.393 (#445) | AdjNet -3.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.405 (#445) | AdjNet -3.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.432 (#453) | AdjO 66.0 | AdjD 69.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.385 (#543) | AdjO 62.4 | AdjD 67.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.428 (#422) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.406 (#444) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 831 (#448) | RD 97 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Dickinson St. | W | 63 - 49 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Bismarck St. | W | 91 - 69 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Mont. St. Billings | L | 56 - 72 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Simon Fraser | L | 45 - 55 |
| 2025-11-26 | @ | Northern St. | W | 65 - 48 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Minot St. | L | 88 - 97 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Mary | W | 60 - 58 |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | Bemidji St. | L | 61 - 77 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Minn. Duluth | L | 36 - 82 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Minn.-Crookston | L | 70 - 99 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | MSU Moorhead | L | 49 - 76 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Northern St. | L | 58 - 67 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Wayne St. (NE) | L | 48 - 55 |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | Concordia-St. Paul | L | 50 - 83 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Winona St. | L | 66 - 76 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | St. Cloud St. | L | 72 - 79 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Minnesota St. | L | 60 - 107 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Southwest Minn. St. | L | 74 - 88 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Sioux Falls | W | 57 - 53 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | MSU Moorhead | W | 65 - 58 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Minn.-Crookston | L | 78 - 86 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allie Berns | - | 21 | 29.6 | 14.9 | 5.5 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 2.7 | 11.4 | 9.3 | -160 | -7.3 | -36.5 | 52.9 | 16.0 | 73.0 | 0.29 | 57.2 | 53.8 |
| Daviney Dreckman | - | 11 | 24.6 | 10.9 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 3.7 | 8.4 | 4.9 | - | - | - | 40.2 | 37.1 | 82.5 | - | 54.7 | 47.3 |
| Haidyn Crockett | - | 21 | 26.2 | 9.3 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 3.3 | 10.8 | 0.6 | -159 | -7.2 | -45.9 | 31.7 | 28.2 | 72.4 | -2.06 | 40.9 | 38.5 |
| Jessika Lofstrom | - | 21 | 30.7 | 8.8 | 6.5 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 8.9 | 6.6 | -208 | -9.0 | -42.8 | 34.9 | 27.3 | 77.5 | -1.78 | 45.4 | 41.4 |
| Samantha Paulsen | - | 20 | 23.4 | 7.3 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 6.5 | 6.6 | -166 | -7.5 | -45.3 | 42.6 | 28.6 | 75.0 | -2.27 | 53.3 | 51.2 |
| Emily Kurkowski | - | 19 | 17.1 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 5.4 | 3.1 | -167 | -8.0 | -71.8 | 35.3 | 27.3 | 90.9 | -1.84 | 46.8 | 44.1 |
| Hali Savela | - | 21 | 24.6 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 3.9 | 4.2 | -88 | -3.8 | -24.2 | 32.1 | 27.1 | 69.0 | 2.21 | 45.3 | 40.1 |
| Jordan Munson | - | 10 | 20.1 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 2.9 | 3.8 | 3.3 | -63 | -5.7 | -18.7 | 31.6 | 14.3 | 50.0 | 2.61 | 36.2 | 32.9 |
| Halle Crockett | - | 21 | 8.7 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 1.0 | -108 | -4.7 | -95.8 | 39.2 | 12.5 | 55.0 | 0.87 | 43.5 | 40.2 |
| Madelyn Malmgren | - | 21 | 9.8 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 1.6 | -89 | -4.0 | -68.4 | 32.6 | 0 | 63.6 | -1.48 | 36.4 | 32.6 |
| Caitlin Beauchamp | - | 10 | 5.8 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 1.3 | -4 | -0.4 | -22.1 | 45.5 | 25.0 | 62.5 | -1.5 | 55.1 | 50.0 |
| Julia Thoms | - | 13 | 6.2 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | -36 | -2.4 | -228.0 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 75.0 | -0.34 | 36.1 | 23.8 |
| Alexa Ham | - | 3 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 38.7 | 33.3 |
| Aubrey Beauchamp | - | 4 | 6.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.8 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 104.2 | 100.0 |
| Kiara Jangula | - | 7 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 12.5 | 16.7 | 100.0 | - | 28.2 | 18.8 |
| Allison Thomas | - | 7 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.4 | -10 | -1.7 | -46.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.91 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Willow Thiel | - | 1 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG