🐻⬇️🏀

Jacksonville

Also known as: Jacksonville
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1038 (#152) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1070 (#141) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1034 (#185) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +14.3 (#156) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.975 (#133) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +30.6 More → 0.989 (#77) NetEff +30.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +31.1 More → 0.973 (#114) AdjNet +31.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +30.9 More → 0.975 (#118) AdjNet +30.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 80.2 | AdjD 59.9 More → 0.864 (#117) AdjO 80.2 | AdjD 59.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 60.1 More → 0.633 (#137) AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 60.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.819 (#84) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.794 (#95) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 2 More → 1159 (#69) RD 350 | GP 2

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-06 vs Florida Tech W 75 - 47
2025-11-25 vs Ga. Southwestern W 77 - 56

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Bailey Burns - 1 26.9 12.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 10.0 - - - 42.9 50.0 71.4 - 59.5 50.0
Mychal White - 2 25.2 11.0 1.5 3.5 1.0 0.0 2.5 7.0 7.5 13 0.9 12.7 57.1 50.0 83.3 -0.32 66.1 60.7
Tatum Brown - 2 23.4 10.5 4.0 2.5 4.5 0.5 0.5 8.5 13.0 72 4.0 27.6 47.1 71.4 0.0 2.93 58.7 61.8
Mariah Knight - 2 17.0 9.0 3.0 1.0 1.5 1.0 1.5 5.0 9.0 -10 -0.5 -2.1 60.0 42.9 60.0 0.56 73.8 75.0
Carmaya Bowman - 2 13.9 9.0 5.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 5.5 9.5 - - - 54.5 0.0 75.0 - 62.0 54.5
Comari Mitchell - 2 22.8 8.5 6.5 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 7.5 10.0 - - - 40.0 0.0 83.3 - 48.2 40.0
Priscilla Williams - 2 21.1 7.0 8.5 4.0 0.5 1.0 1.0 6.0 14.0 - - - 33.3 25.0 83.3 - 47.8 37.5
Kali Howard - 2 11.9 4.0 3.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.5 6.0 1.0 - - - 25.0 0 100.0 - 31.1 25.0
Sharmela Reid - 2 14.4 4.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 1.0 3.5 5.0 - - - 42.9 0 100.0 - 50.8 42.9
Makiya Miller - 2 18.6 3.5 3.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 1.0 166 8.3 39.1 16.7 0.0 75.0 0.68 25.4 16.7
Kimora Hester - 2 15.6 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 6.0 -2.5 - - - 16.7 0.0 50.0 - 21.8 16.7
Giana Provenzano - 2 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -2.5 - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 10.2 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG