Iowa
Model Outputs
2002-2003
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1127 (#88) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1070 (#109) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 992 (#164) | HCA +112 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.0 (#75) | HCA +3.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +6.8 (#77) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.609 (#106) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.810 (#65) | AdjNet +12.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.814 (#65) | AdjNet +12.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.632 (#77) | AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 64.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.559 (#105) | AdjO 69.5 | AdjD 66.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.653 (#78) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.639 (#82) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1097 (#87) | RD 100 | GP 31 |
2003 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002-11-24 | vs | Florida Atlantic | W | 79 - 52 |
| 2002-11-26 | @ | Drake | W | 50 - 49 |
| 2002-11-30 | vs | Tennessee State | W | 84 - 51 |
| 2002-12-02 | @ | Florida State | L | 67 - 80 |
| 2002-12-06 | vs | Montana State | W | 65 - 44 |
| 2002-12-07 | vs | Southern Mississippi | W | 65 - 63 |
| 2002-12-10 | vs | Northern Iowa | W | 63 - 54 |
| 2002-12-13 | vs | Iowa State | L | 69 - 73 |
| 2002-12-22 | vs | Liberty | W | 87 - 49 |
| 2002-12-28 | @ | Tulsa | W | 67 - 63 |
| 2003-01-04 | vs | Missouri | L | 82 - 88 |
| 2003-01-08 | @ | Northwestern | W | 68 - 63 |
| 2003-01-11 | vs | Michigan State | W | 68 - 64 |
| 2003-01-15 | vs | Illinois | W | 68 - 61 |
| 2003-01-22 | @ | Wisconsin | L | 61 - 74 |
| 2003-01-25 | vs | Ohio State | L | 72 - 83 |
| 2003-02-01 | vs | Purdue | L | 77 - 80 |
| 2003-02-05 | @ | Penn State | W | 75 - 55 |
| 2003-02-08 | @ | Michigan | L | 62 - 70 |
| 2003-02-12 | @ | Minnesota | L | 64 - 77 |
| 2003-02-15 | vs | Penn State | W | 84 - 71 |
| 2003-02-19 | vs | Indiana | L | 63 - 79 |
| 2003-02-22 | vs | Wisconsin | L | 53 - 61 |
| 2003-02-25 | @ | Ohio State | W | 71 - 64 |
| 2003-03-01 | @ | Indiana | L | 88 - 91 |
| 2003-03-05 | @ | Michigan State | L | 54 - 82 |
| 2003-03-08 | vs | Northwestern | W | 77 - 61 |
| 2003-03-13 | N | Ohio State | L | 64 - 66 |
| 2003-03-17 | vs | Valparaiso | W | 62 - 60 |
| 2003-03-21 | @ | Iowa State | W | 54 - 53 |
| 2003-03-24 | vs | Georgia Tech | L | 78 - 79 |
2003 Roster
No roster data available for this season.