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Iowa

Also known as: Iowa Hawkeyes, Iowa
Program History

Model Outputs

1998-1999
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1297 (#26) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1260 (#19) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More โ†’ 1079 (#64) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.9 More โ†’ +14.2 (#24) HCA +3.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ +14.4 (#23) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.652 (#90) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +21.7 More โ†’ 0.924 (#19) AdjNet +21.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +21.9 More โ†’ 0.926 (#19) AdjNet +21.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.4 | AdjD 65.7 More โ†’ 0.761 (#25) AdjO 78.4 | AdjD 65.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 68.3 More โ†’ 0.680 (#30) AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 68.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.812 (#20) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.799 (#21) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 30 More โ†’ 1246 (#22) RD 99 | GP 30

1999 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1998-11-15 N Western Illinois W 74 - 63
1998-11-19 vs Northern Iowa W 83 - 67
1998-11-25 vs Creighton L 73 - 75
1998-12-01 @ Drake W 78 - 74
1998-12-04 vs South Alabama W 82 - 58
1998-12-05 vs Detroit Mercy W 61 - 60
1998-12-07 vs Illinois W 84 - 62
1998-12-08 @ Kansas W 85 - 81
1998-12-12 vs Iowa State W 74 - 54
1998-12-19 vs Missouri W 82 - 68
1998-12-23 vs Coppin State W 87 - 73
1998-12-31 vs Indiana W 67 - 52
1999-01-03 @ Northwestern W 52 - 48
1999-01-12 vs Ohio State W 71 - 68
1999-01-16 @ Minnesota L 70 - 75
1999-01-21 @ Michigan State L 65 - 80
1999-01-23 vs Wisconsin L 52 - 72
1999-01-27 vs Penn State W 84 - 74
1999-01-30 @ Michigan W 81 - 68
1999-02-04 @ Purdue L 75 - 90
1999-02-06 vs Michigan State L 81 - 95
1999-02-10 vs Minnesota W 76 - 73
1999-02-13 @ Ohio State L 69 - 73
1999-02-21 @ Illinois W 78 - 72
1999-02-24 vs Northwestern W 65 - 48
1999-02-27 @ Indiana L 81 - 88
1999-03-05 N Wisconsin L 60 - 74
1999-03-11 N UAB W 77 - 64
1999-03-13 N Arkansas W 82 - 72
1999-03-18 N Connecticut L 68 - 78

1999 Roster

No roster data available for this season.