Iowa
Model Outputs
1998-1999
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1297 (#26) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1260 (#19) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1079 (#64) | HCA +109 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +14.2 (#24) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +14.4 (#23) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.652 (#90) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.924 (#19) | AdjNet +21.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.926 (#19) | AdjNet +21.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.761 (#25) | AdjO 78.4 | AdjD 65.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.680 (#30) | AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 68.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.812 (#20) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.799 (#21) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1246 (#22) | RD 99 | GP 30 |
1999 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1998-11-15 | N | Western Illinois | W | 74 - 63 |
| 1998-11-19 | vs | Northern Iowa | W | 83 - 67 |
| 1998-11-25 | vs | Creighton | L | 73 - 75 |
| 1998-12-01 | @ | Drake | W | 78 - 74 |
| 1998-12-04 | vs | South Alabama | W | 82 - 58 |
| 1998-12-05 | vs | Detroit Mercy | W | 61 - 60 |
| 1998-12-07 | vs | Illinois | W | 84 - 62 |
| 1998-12-08 | @ | Kansas | W | 85 - 81 |
| 1998-12-12 | vs | Iowa State | W | 74 - 54 |
| 1998-12-19 | vs | Missouri | W | 82 - 68 |
| 1998-12-23 | vs | Coppin State | W | 87 - 73 |
| 1998-12-31 | vs | Indiana | W | 67 - 52 |
| 1999-01-03 | @ | Northwestern | W | 52 - 48 |
| 1999-01-12 | vs | Ohio State | W | 71 - 68 |
| 1999-01-16 | @ | Minnesota | L | 70 - 75 |
| 1999-01-21 | @ | Michigan State | L | 65 - 80 |
| 1999-01-23 | vs | Wisconsin | L | 52 - 72 |
| 1999-01-27 | vs | Penn State | W | 84 - 74 |
| 1999-01-30 | @ | Michigan | W | 81 - 68 |
| 1999-02-04 | @ | Purdue | L | 75 - 90 |
| 1999-02-06 | vs | Michigan State | L | 81 - 95 |
| 1999-02-10 | vs | Minnesota | W | 76 - 73 |
| 1999-02-13 | @ | Ohio State | L | 69 - 73 |
| 1999-02-21 | @ | Illinois | W | 78 - 72 |
| 1999-02-24 | vs | Northwestern | W | 65 - 48 |
| 1999-02-27 | @ | Indiana | L | 81 - 88 |
| 1999-03-05 | N | Wisconsin | L | 60 - 74 |
| 1999-03-11 | N | UAB | W | 77 - 64 |
| 1999-03-13 | N | Arkansas | W | 82 - 72 |
| 1999-03-18 | N | Connecticut | L | 68 - 78 |
1999 Roster
No roster data available for this season.