Iowa State
Model Outputs
2002-2003
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1133 (#84) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1071 (#108) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 984 (#181) | HCA +112 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +8.5 (#57) | HCA +3.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +9.3 (#55) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.654 (#82) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.822 (#59) | AdjNet +13.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.826 (#59) | AdjNet +13.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.665 (#60) | AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 62.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.603 (#71) | AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 63.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.671 (#74) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.659 (#74) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1088 (#94) | RD 108 | GP 30 |
2003 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002-11-29 | vs | Mercer | W | 91 - 60 |
| 2002-12-02 | vs | Jackson State | W | 85 - 63 |
| 2002-12-06 | vs | Western Illinois | W | 59 - 44 |
| 2002-12-07 | vs | Binghamton | W | 86 - 56 |
| 2002-12-10 | vs | Boston College | L | 78 - 85 |
| 2002-12-13 | @ | Iowa | W | 73 - 69 |
| 2002-12-15 | vs | Savannah State | W | 79 - 59 |
| 2002-12-22 | vs | Drake | W | 76 - 55 |
| 2002-12-29 | @ | Northern Iowa | W | 71 - 64 |
| 2002-12-31 | vs | Arkansas–Pine Bluff | W | 90 - 46 |
| 2003-01-06 | vs | Kansas | L | 54 - 83 |
| 2003-01-11 | @ | Texas | L | 50 - 70 |
| 2003-01-18 | vs | Oklahoma | L | 60 - 70 |
| 2003-01-21 | @ | Missouri | L | 59 - 64 |
| 2003-01-25 | vs | Nebraska | W | 71 - 61 |
| 2003-01-29 | @ | Oklahoma State | L | 55 - 68 |
| 2003-02-01 | vs | Baylor | W | 74 - 70 |
| 2003-02-08 | @ | Colorado | L | 69 - 84 |
| 2003-02-12 | vs | Texas Tech | L | 73 - 88 |
| 2003-02-16 | @ | Kansas | L | 51 - 70 |
| 2003-02-19 | @ | Texas A&M | L | 54 - 66 |
| 2003-02-22 | vs | Kansas State | W | 64 - 61 |
| 2003-02-25 | vs | Colorado | W | 81 - 55 |
| 2003-03-01 | @ | Nebraska | L | 63 - 69 |
| 2003-03-05 | vs | Missouri | W | 71 - 55 |
| 2003-03-08 | @ | Kansas State | L | 63 - 74 |
| 2003-03-13 | N | Texas A&M | W | 97 - 70 |
| 2003-03-14 | N | Kansas | L | 74 - 89 |
| 2003-03-19 | vs | Wichita State | W | 76 - 65 |
| 2003-03-21 | vs | Iowa | L | 53 - 54 |
2003 Roster
No roster data available for this season.