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Iowa State

Also known as: Iowa State Cyclones, Iowa State
Program History

Model Outputs

1993-1994
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1180 (#58) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1062 (#113) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +119 elo More โ†’ 976 (#187) HCA +119 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.9 More โ†’ +13.5 (#32) HCA +3.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ +12.5 (#35) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.755 (#42) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +17.3 More โ†’ 0.881 (#35) AdjNet +17.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +17.6 More โ†’ 0.885 (#35) AdjNet +17.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 82.4 | AdjD 70.5 More โ†’ 0.747 (#34) AdjO 82.4 | AdjD 70.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 80.1 | AdjD 73.0 More โ†’ 0.655 (#47) AdjO 80.1 | AdjD 73.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.730 (#45) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.712 (#49) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 133 | GP 26 More โ†’ 1080 (#102) RD 133 | GP 26

1994 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1993-12-01 vs Creighton W 107 - 63
1993-12-04 vs Northern Iowa W 79 - 66
1993-12-07 @ Drake W 83 - 67
1993-12-11 vs Iowa W 86 - 79
1993-12-18 vs UT Arlington W 119 - 55
1993-12-21 vs Charleston Southern W 117 - 81
1993-12-29 N Virginia Commonwealth L 84 - 91
1993-12-30 N Pepperdine W 71 - 64
1994-01-03 vs Nebraska L 72 - 78
1994-01-05 vs Western Illinois W 90 - 53
1994-01-15 vs Oklahoma L 90 - 93
1994-01-19 @ Missouri L 69 - 92
1994-01-22 vs Kansas L 71 - 78
1994-01-24 vs Florida Atlantic W 86 - 54
1994-01-29 @ Kansas State L 70 - 76
1994-02-01 vs Colorado W 99 - 69
1994-02-05 @ Oklahoma State L 66 - 79
1994-02-09 @ Saint Louis L 75 - 90
1994-02-12 @ Nebraska L 96 - 102
1994-02-16 vs Missouri L 72 - 79
1994-02-19 @ Colorado W 81 - 78
1994-02-23 @ Oklahoma W 95 - 82
1994-02-26 vs Oklahoma State L 81 - 83
1994-03-03 @ Kansas L 79 - 97
1994-03-06 vs Kansas State W 85 - 60
1994-03-11 N Oklahoma State L 67 - 77

1994 Roster

No roster data available for this season.