Indiana St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2020 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1326 (#5) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1368 (#3) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1215 (#11) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +27.0 (#5) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +22.4 (#75) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.926 (#172) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.419 (#390) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.938 (#168) | AdjNet +23.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.521 (#399) | AdjNet +0.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.943 (#168) | AdjNet +23.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.539 (#397) | AdjNet +1.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.801 (#168) | AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 56.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.503 (#406) | AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 65.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.856 (#10) | AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 56.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.919 (#24) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.915 (#20) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1417 (#3) | RD 117 | GP 20 |
2020 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-11-09 | vs | Davis & Elkins | W | 81 - 52 |
| 2019-11-10 | vs | West Va. Wesleyan | W | 96 - 44 |
| 2019-11-15 | vs | Glenville St. | L | 79 - 86 |
| 2019-11-20 | vs | Pitt.-Bradford | W | 87 - 32 |
| 2019-11-23 | vs | Bloomsburg | W | 66 - 52 |
| 2019-11-24 | vs | East Stroudsburg | W | 65 - 50 |
| 2019-11-27 | @ | Salem (WV) | W | 65 - 54 |
| 2019-12-03 | @ | Dist. Columbia | W | 39 - 34 |
| 2019-12-07 | @ | Mansfield | W | 71 - 38 |
| 2019-12-20 | @ | Shepherd | W | 91 - 76 |
| 2019-12-21 | @ | Shippensburg | W | 69 - 61 |
| 2020-01-03 | vs | Lock Haven | W | 64 - 51 |
| 2020-01-06 | vs | Mercyhurst | W | 61 - 55 |
| 2020-01-08 | @ | Slippery Rock | W | 81 - 39 |
| 2020-01-11 | @ | Gannon | W | 62 - 48 |
| 2020-01-15 | @ | Edinboro | W | 66 - 63 |
| 2020-01-18 | vs | California (PA) | W | 76 - 61 |
| 2020-01-22 | @ | Pitt.-Johnstown | W | 58 - 53 |
| 2020-01-25 | vs | Clarion | W | 82 - 50 |
| 2020-01-29 | vs | Seton Hill | W | 81 - 55 |
| 2020-02-01 | @ | Mercyhurst | W | 73 - 59 |
| 2020-02-08 | vs | Slippery Rock | W | 77 - 48 |
| 2020-02-12 | @ | California (PA) | L | 52 - 57 |
| 2020-02-15 | vs | Gannon | W | 59 - 54 |
| 2020-02-19 | vs | Edinboro | W | 80 - 72 |
| 2020-02-22 | @ | Seton Hill | W | 71 - 44 |
| 2020-02-26 | @ | Clarion | W | 77 - 46 |
| 2020-02-29 | vs | Pitt.-Johnstown | W | 68 - 48 |
| 2020-03-04 | vs | California (PA) | W | 68 - 65 |
| 2020-03-07 | vs | East Stroudsburg | W | 67 - 54 |
| 2020-03-08 | vs | Gannon | L | 40 - 50 |
| 2020-03-13 | vs | Fayetteville St. | - | Preview |
2020 Roster
No roster data available for this season.