Indiana St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2019 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1326 (#5) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1368 (#3) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1215 (#11) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +27.0 (#5) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +22.4 (#75) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.926 (#172) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.419 (#390) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.938 (#168) | AdjNet +23.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.521 (#399) | AdjNet +0.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.943 (#168) | AdjNet +23.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.539 (#397) | AdjNet +1.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.801 (#168) | AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 56.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.503 (#406) | AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 65.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.856 (#10) | AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 56.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.919 (#24) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.915 (#20) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1412 (#3) | RD 118 | GP 20 |
2019 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-11-10 | vs | Alderson Broaddus | W | 95 - 50 |
| 2018-11-11 | vs | Ohio Valley | W | 101 - 62 |
| 2018-11-14 | vs | Bloomsburg | W | 73 - 46 |
| 2018-11-20 | @ | Cheyney | W | 77 - 41 |
| 2018-11-28 | vs | Cheyney | W | 100 - 44 |
| 2018-12-01 | @ | Kutztown | W | 72 - 41 |
| 2018-12-02 | @ | Millersville | - | Preview |
| 2018-12-08 | vs | Shippensburg | W | 66 - 32 |
| 2018-12-18 | vs | West Chester | W | 87 - 69 |
| 2019-01-02 | vs | Gannon | W | 66 - 40 |
| 2019-01-05 | vs | Pitt.-Johnstown | W | 73 - 45 |
| 2019-01-09 | @ | Mercyhurst | W | 74 - 57 |
| 2019-01-12 | @ | Slippery Rock | W | 90 - 54 |
| 2019-01-16 | @ | East Stroudsburg | W | 84 - 62 |
| 2019-01-21 | vs | Edinboro | W | 97 - 73 |
| 2019-01-23 | vs | California (PA) | L | 56 - 61 |
| 2019-01-26 | @ | Clarion | W | 73 - 51 |
| 2019-01-30 | @ | Seton Hill | W | 72 - 57 |
| 2019-02-02 | vs | Mercyhurst | W | 81 - 56 |
| 2019-02-06 | vs | Slippery Rock | W | 88 - 51 |
| 2019-02-09 | @ | Gannon | W | 66 - 52 |
| 2019-02-13 | @ | Pitt.-Johnstown | W | 57 - 35 |
| 2019-02-21 | vs | Clarion | W | 79 - 62 |
| 2019-02-23 | @ | California (PA) | L | 65 - 73 |
| 2019-02-27 | @ | Edinboro | W | 88 - 60 |
| 2019-03-02 | vs | Seton Hill | L | 59 - 71 |
| 2019-03-06 | vs | Seton Hill | W | 67 - 53 |
| 2019-03-09 | vs | Bloomsburg | W | 85 - 57 |
| 2019-03-10 | @ | Kutztown | W | 72 - 57 |
| 2019-03-15 | vs | Bowie St. | W | 67 - 60 |
| 2019-03-16 | @ | Virginia Union | W | 66 - 58 |
| 2019-03-18 | vs | California (PA) | W | 68 - 60 |
| 2019-03-26 | vs | Azusa Pacific | W | 73 - 60 |
| 2019-03-27 | @ | Southwestern Okla. | L | 57 - 66 |
2019 Roster
No roster data available for this season.