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Incarnate Word

Also known as: Incarnate Word Cardinals
Program History

2019 Team Stats (28 games)

66.4
PPG
78.0
Opp
-11.6
Margin
46.4%
FG%
35.8%
3P%
81.5%
FT%
26.5
RPG
11.3
APG
16.4
TO
-
Est. poss./game
62.3
Adj PPG
78.7
Adj Opp PPG
#345
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More โ†’ Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 618 (#353) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More โ†’ 804 (#352) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -17.4 (#345) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ -18.7 (#349) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.099 (#344) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -24.8 More โ†’ 0.054 (#344) AdjNet -24.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -25.1 More โ†’ 0.052 (#344) AdjNet -25.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.3 | AdjD 78.7 More โ†’ 0.184 (#345) AdjO 62.3 | AdjD 78.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 77.5 More โ†’ 0.245 (#347) AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 77.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.117 (#349) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.125 (#349) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 155 | GP 27 More โ†’ 601 (#350) RD 155 | GP 27

2019 Schedule & Results

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Christian Peevy Christian Peevy F 27 24.9 13.7 4.5 1.0 1.1 0.4 2.3 8.1 10.2 -110 23 -4.8 -8.1 53.9 33.3 87.2 -1.22 64.9 54.8
Morgan Taylor Morgan Taylor G 14 31.3 11.9 2.7 3.4 1.1 0.1 3.1 9.9 6.2 -45 13 -3.5 -5.0 37.4 17.9 79.5 1.5 48.8 39.2
Charles Brown Charles Brown F 26 21.6 10.3 2.6 0.8 0.5 0.0 1.8 7.0 5.4 -137 23 -6.0 -11.7 54.1 36.7 88.9 -1.48 64.8 60.1
Augustine Ene Augustine Ene G 28 28.6 10.3 3.7 1.3 1.0 0.5 2.0 7.4 7.4 -216 24 -9.0 -12.2 48.6 42.3 85.7 -2.96 61.3 56.5
Antoine Smith Antoine Smith F 28 22.3 7.3 3.1 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.3 5.6 4.7 -185 26 -7.1 -13.9 45.6 38.4 80.0 -6.25 59.1 56.0
Dwight Murray Dwight Murray - 27 24.9 6.6 2.2 2.2 0.8 0.0 2.1 5.3 4.5 -162 25 -6.5 -11.3 46.5 39.4 83.3 -2.49 58.3 55.6
Jordan Caruso Jordan Caruso G 28 21.3 5.0 2.1 1.7 0.6 0.1 2.1 3.7 3.8 -47 26 -1.8 -3.4 46.6 34.4 73.9 3.87 57.2 51.9
Cody Graham Cody Graham G 25 25.7 4.1 1.8 1.8 0.7 0.1 1.2 3.7 3.7 -161 22 -7.3 -12.6 43.5 28.1 77.8 -3.7 51.5 48.4
Jorden Kite Jorden Kite G 25 12.8 2.9 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 2.3 1.7 -65 21 -3.1 -9.2 38.6 40.0 87.5 -1.42 60.3 57.9
Bryce Davis Bryce Davis F 13 8.8 2.7 1.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.7 2.4 1.2 -7 10 -0.7 -2.8 29.0 50.0 69.6 -0.15 42.6 30.6
Romello Wilbert Romello Wilbert G 16 14.6 1.9 2.7 0.8 0.6 0.2 1.9 2.8 1.6 - - - - 27.3 11.1 33.3 - 30.6 29.5

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG