Model Predictions
| Model | Incarnate Word Cardinals | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.7% | 87.3% | +10.6 | ✓ (16.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks +27 (81-54). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
Incarnate Word Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Graham * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Caruso * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Antoine Smith Jr. * | 26 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Jorden Kite * | 24 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Christian Peevy * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Augustine Ene | 29 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Romello Wilbert | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Dwight Murray | 21 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevon Harris * | 34 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 5-7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Shannon Bogues * | 30 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Davonte Fitzgerald * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Nathan Bain * | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| John Comeaux * | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Rance Cole | 26 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Mitchell Seraille | 26 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Samuli Nieminen | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Oddyst Walker | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jovan Grujic | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Edward Ruiz | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter