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Illinois-Springfield Prairie Stars

Season: 2022 2015 2013 2012 2010 2008 2007 2006
Also known as: Illinois-Springfield Prairie Stars
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1023 (#262) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1048 (#283) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 994 (#397) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -2.3 (#526) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → -13.6 (#508) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 70.3 More → 0.435 (#504) AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 70.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.291 (#474) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.318 (#477) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 947 (#284) RD 350 | GP 1

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-12-20 @ Northwestern Wildcats L 50 - 90

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Kelley J. Kelley - 1 27.0 14.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 19.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.58 0 0
C. Hamil C. Hamil - 1 27.0 13.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 17.0 -75 -15.0 -22.3 0 0 0 -0.72 0 0
J. Castillo J. Castillo - 1 31.0 6.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 13.0 -35 -7.0 -14.8 0 0 0 -0.38 0 0
Yamani Shareef Yamani Shareef G 1 6.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jack Weber Jack Weber F 1 23.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 6.0 -40 -8.0 -14.3 0 0 0 -0.42 0 0
Evan Altman Evan Altman F 1 19.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 -43 -8.6 -21.5 0 0 0 -0.45 0 0
T. Marble T. Marble - 1 15.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 -27 -5.4 -19.4 0 0 0 -0.29 0 0
Jordan Rice Jordan Rice G 1 14.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 -64 -12.8 -20.9 0 0 0 -0.63 0 0
Jacob Hanna Jacob Hanna G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - -0.32 - -
Kyle Ingram Kyle Ingram F 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jason Bergstrom Jason Bergstrom F 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Isaiah Esker Isaiah Esker C 1 7.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 -15 -3.0 -19.3 0 0 0 -0.15 0 0
A. Jones A. Jones - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 198 6.0 9.1 0 0 0 1.55 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG