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Illinois Tech Scarlet Hawks

Also known as: Illinois Tech Scarlet Hawks
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2022 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 891 (#543) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 876 (#523) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 818 (#743) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -14.0 (#301) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -22.9 (#710) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.115 (#726) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +13.1 More → 0.820 (#20) NetEff +13.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -20.7 More → 0.084 (#659) AdjNet -20.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -20.7 More → 0.082 (#659) AdjNet -20.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 81.1 More → 0.202 (#657) AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 81.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.2 | AdjD 80.9 More → 0.193 (#744) AdjO 65.2 | AdjD 80.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.122 (#729) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.126 (#732) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 92 | GP 24 More → 729 (#593) RD 92 | GP 24

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-06 @ Calvin L 54 - 85
2021-11-09 vs Carroll (WI) W 64 - 55
2021-11-12 vs Cal Lutheran L 61 - 74
2021-11-17 vs Elmhurst L 44 - 71
2021-11-23 @ Wis.-Platteville L 51 - 72
2021-11-27 @ UChicago L 63 - 65
2021-12-01 @ Aurora L 44 - 67
2021-12-04 vs MSOE W 58 - 56
2021-12-11 @ Concordia Wisconsin L 68 - 76
2022-01-05 @ Dominican (IL) W 76 - 72
2022-01-08 @ Lakeland L 67 - 85
2022-01-15 vs Concordia Wisconsin W 86 - 82
2022-01-19 @ Benedictine (IL) W 69 - 66
2022-01-22 @ Marian (WI) L 52 - 86
2022-01-26 @ Edgewood L 79 - 84
2022-01-29 vs Lakeland W 82 - 70
2022-01-31 vs Aurora W 79 - 51
2022-02-05 @ St. Norbert - Preview
2022-02-07 vs Concordia Chicago - Preview
2022-02-09 vs Dominican (IL) - Preview
2022-02-12 vs Wis. Lutheran W 68 - 59
2022-02-16 vs Benedictine (IL) W 69 - 68
2022-02-19 vs Dominican (IL) W 70 - 58
2022-02-23 vs Marian (WI) L 71 - 85

2022 Roster

No roster data available for this season.