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Illinois State Redbirds

Also known as: Illinois State Redbirds
Program History

2025 Team Stats (6 games)

78.2
PPG
67.5
Opp
+10.7
Margin
47.7%
FG%
34.7%
3P%
73.0%
FT%
33.5
RPG
16.2
APG
10.8
TO
79.5
Pace

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2025 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +113 elo More → 1142 (#28) HCA +113 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +14.1 (#147) HCA +2.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.4 | AdjD 60.3 More → 0.592 (#133) AdjO 64.4 | AdjD 60.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.807 (#135) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.783 (#129) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 86 | GP 36 More → 1135 (#112) RD 86 | GP 36

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-06 @ Northwestern Wildcats W 81 - 77
2025-01-10 vs Northern Iowa Panthers W 79 - 66
2025-01-31 vs Southern Illinois Salukis W 78 - 60
2025-02-07 @ Drake Bulldogs L 74 - 79
2025-03-13 vs Southern Illinois Salukis W 88 - 48
2025-03-14 @ Drake Bulldogs L 69 - 75

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
S. Dowell S. Dowell G 6 29.2 19.0 5.5 2.7 1.0 0.2 1.8 13.0 13.5 19 0.5 0.6 46.2 38.5 86.0 0.5 58.8 49.4
A. Martin A. Martin F 6 30.2 15.0 7.0 1.5 0.5 0.2 1.7 10.5 12.0 23 0.6 0.8 60.3 0.0 82.4 0.6 63.8 60.3
E. Knudsen E. Knudsen G 5 29.6 12.0 2.2 1.8 0.2 0.2 1.6 11.0 3.8 19 0.5 0.6 45.5 26.5 100.0 0.61 54.1 53.6
M. Wong M. Wong G 6 31.8 11.3 3.0 4.0 0.7 0.5 1.3 7.7 10.5 9 0.2 0.3 50.0 44.8 56.2 0.36 64.1 64.1
N. Thomas N. Thomas F 6 25.7 9.7 4.5 1.3 1.7 0.5 1.3 7.5 8.8 31 0.8 1.1 48.9 30.8 71.4 1.13 56.7 53.3
C. Waite C. Waite G 5 8.0 4.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.2 1.2 13 0.6 2.6 38.1 46.7 0 -0.18 54.8 54.8
S. McGowan S. McGowan F 3 9.0 4.0 2.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 2.7 3.7 6 0.2 1.0 50.0 0.0 100.0 -0.16 61.5 50.0
D. Washington D. Washington F 6 15.8 3.2 3.7 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.7 2.8 5.8 7 0.2 0.4 47.1 0.0 30.0 0.65 44.4 47.1
L. Cohen L. Cohen G 3 16.0 2.7 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.0 0.7 1.7 3.7 32 1.1 6.8 60.0 50.0 0 -0.07 80.0 80.0
T. Fayta T. Fayta G 6 17.2 2.3 2.3 1.8 1.2 0.2 0.7 2.8 4.3 5 0.1 0.3 29.4 22.2 50.0 0.62 37.3 35.3
D. Thomas D. Thomas G 3 10.7 1.0 2.3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.7 1.3 42 1.1 1.8 12.5 0.0 50.0 1.28 16.9 12.5
M. Bruno M. Bruno G 2 3.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 41 1.2 2.0 0 0 0 0.92 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG