Illinois State Redbirds
2025 Team Stats (6 games)
78.2
PPG
67.5
Opp
+10.7
Margin
47.7%
FG%
34.7%
3P%
73.0%
FT%
33.5
RPG
16.2
APG
10.8
TO
79.5
Pace
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2025 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1142 (#28) | HCA +113 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +14.1 (#147) | HCA +2.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.592 (#133) | AdjO 64.4 | AdjD 60.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.807 (#135) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.783 (#129) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1135 (#112) | RD 86 | GP 36 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-06 | @ | Northwestern Wildcats | W | 81 - 77 |
| 2025-01-10 | vs | Northern Iowa Panthers | W | 79 - 66 |
| 2025-01-31 | vs | Southern Illinois Salukis | W | 78 - 60 |
| 2025-02-07 | @ | Drake Bulldogs | L | 74 - 79 |
| 2025-03-13 | vs | Southern Illinois Salukis | W | 88 - 48 |
| 2025-03-14 | @ | Drake Bulldogs | L | 69 - 75 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
S. Dowell
|
G | 6 | 29.2 | 19.0 | 5.5 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 13.0 | 13.5 | 19 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 46.2 | 38.5 | 86.0 | 0.5 | 58.8 | 49.4 |
A. Martin
|
F | 6 | 30.2 | 15.0 | 7.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 10.5 | 12.0 | 23 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 60.3 | 0.0 | 82.4 | 0.6 | 63.8 | 60.3 |
E. Knudsen
|
G | 5 | 29.6 | 12.0 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 11.0 | 3.8 | 19 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 45.5 | 26.5 | 100.0 | 0.61 | 54.1 | 53.6 |
M. Wong
|
G | 6 | 31.8 | 11.3 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 7.7 | 10.5 | 9 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 50.0 | 44.8 | 56.2 | 0.36 | 64.1 | 64.1 |
N. Thomas
|
F | 6 | 25.7 | 9.7 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 7.5 | 8.8 | 31 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 48.9 | 30.8 | 71.4 | 1.13 | 56.7 | 53.3 |
C. Waite
|
G | 5 | 8.0 | 4.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 13 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 38.1 | 46.7 | 0 | -0.18 | 54.8 | 54.8 |
S. McGowan
|
F | 3 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 3.7 | 6 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.16 | 61.5 | 50.0 |
D. Washington
|
F | 6 | 15.8 | 3.2 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 5.8 | 7 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 47.1 | 0.0 | 30.0 | 0.65 | 44.4 | 47.1 |
L. Cohen
|
G | 3 | 16.0 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 3.7 | 32 | 1.1 | 6.8 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.07 | 80.0 | 80.0 |
T. Fayta
|
G | 6 | 17.2 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2.8 | 4.3 | 5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 29.4 | 22.2 | 50.0 | 0.62 | 37.3 | 35.3 |
D. Thomas
|
G | 3 | 10.7 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 42 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 1.28 | 16.9 | 12.5 |
M. Bruno
|
G | 2 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 41 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.92 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG