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Illinois Col.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Illinois Col.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1036 (#155) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 925 (#436) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 951 (#561) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -1.5 (#212) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -3.9 (#422) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.613 (#394) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +7.3 More → 0.729 (#266) NetEff +7.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -5.2 More → 0.355 (#430) AdjNet -5.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.5 More → 0.344 (#432) AdjNet -5.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.9 | AdjD 68.2 More → 0.403 (#434) AdjO 63.9 | AdjD 68.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 68.0 More → 0.509 (#372) AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 68.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.376 (#473) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.395 (#462) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 103 | GP 21 More → 894 (#421) RD 103 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Principia L 90 - 94
2025-11-08 @ Wis.-Stevens Point L 55 - 88
2025-11-14 vs Westminster (MO) W 90 - 60
2025-11-15 vs Greenville W 79 - 66
2025-11-19 vs Webster L 55 - 65
2025-11-22 @ Rockford W 90 - 40
2025-11-25 vs Knox L 74 - 86
2025-12-03 @ Monmouth (IL) W 84 - 58
2025-12-17 @ North Central (IL) L 73 - 90
2025-12-30 @ Anderson (IN) L 73 - 79
2026-01-10 vs Ripon L 54 - 84
2026-01-12 vs Eureka W 96 - 58
2026-01-17 @ Beloit W 67 - 52
2026-01-21 @ Cornell College L 57 - 64
2026-01-24 vs Lawrence L 49 - 59
2026-01-27 @ Knox L 83 - 98
2026-01-31 @ Ripon L 56 - 88
2026-02-07 vs Lake Forest W 87 - 48

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jayln Patterson - 18 24.4 14.6 6.7 1.4 1.3 1.3 2.0 12.5 10.7 87 4.1 21.0 46.7 24.4 68.9 0.14 52.0 48.9
Kallie Oestreicher - 18 25.1 11.4 2.7 1.8 1.2 0.2 2.7 10.4 4.1 94 4.5 22.9 38.8 38.6 67.7 0.21 51.1 49.2
Cora DeSutter - 18 22.4 8.9 5.5 1.5 1.4 0.6 2.3 6.4 9.2 97 4.6 25.9 43.5 27.3 76.0 -1.55 54.1 44.8
Danielle Beach - 18 23.4 6.4 5.1 1.7 1.2 0.3 1.3 5.1 8.4 104 5.0 27.7 42.9 37.0 81.0 1.96 57.4 53.8
Raegen Stringer - 16 26.8 5.2 2.8 5.0 1.6 0.2 2.3 6.0 6.6 60 3.2 13.2 36.5 28.6 47.6 2.43 39.9 38.5
Addison Minor - 17 12.3 4.8 2.1 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.2 3.9 2.9 -19 -0.9 -11.5 46.3 37.5 61.1 0.63 54.7 53.0
Kylie Rakers - 18 9.6 4.2 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.0 1.3 4.0 1.3 1 0.0 0.7 40.3 37.5 71.4 -1.34 49.9 48.6
McKenna Christiansen - 17 10.6 4.0 1.3 0.6 0.9 0.1 1.2 3.3 2.4 -11 -0.6 -10.1 32.1 38.7 66.7 -2.08 49.1 42.9
Kaity Robinson - 18 14.0 4.0 2.2 0.8 0.7 0.1 1.1 2.8 3.7 15 0.7 7.9 41.2 28.6 72.2 -1.67 53.9 45.1
Allison Icenogle - 9 3.4 3.0 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.2 2.3 1.3 4 0.4 11.7 42.9 50.0 0 -1.29 64.3 64.3
De'Jah Yankaway - 18 9.0 2.7 2.6 0.6 0.7 0.4 1.7 3.0 2.2 -13 -0.6 -11.6 35.2 0.0 35.7 -2.72 36.2 35.2
Taytum White - 6 4.4 2.5 0.8 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.8 1.2 1.8 -7 -1.4 -17.2 42.9 0 60.0 -0.75 55.1 42.9
Anaya Patterson - 11 6.7 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.3 0.1 1.4 2.2 0.3 7 0.5 10.5 41.7 28.6 50.0 -1.32 47.2 45.8
Aubrey Kietzman - 18 9.7 2.1 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.7 1.7 2.2 -16 -0.8 -11.7 40.0 35.0 66.7 -2.34 54.5 51.7
Carson Arthalony - 3 1.6 1.7 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.0 8 4.0 468.3 100.0 0 50.0 0.35 86.8 100.0
Lauren Young - 8 4.0 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 1.8 0.8 -12 -1.5 -40.4 35.7 22.2 0.0 -0.42 41.6 42.9
Amya Mayes - 9 3.2 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.7 -5 -0.6 -16.6 42.9 100.0 50.0 -2.0 50.8 50.0
Bianca Adubato - 3 2.4 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.7 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 25.8 0.0
Regan Filkin - 4 3.1 0.5 0.8 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.5 -14 -2.8 -133.9 25.0 0.0 0.0 -1.46 20.5 25.0
Shaili Betts - 7 3.3 0.3 1.4 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.7 -1 -0.2 -5.9 14.3 0 0 -0.7 14.3 14.3
Madi Nettles - 6 3.1 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 -5 -1.0 -26.4 0.0 0 0 -0.67 0.0 0.0
Alexis Van Dyke - 4 3.7 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.2 0.8 -1.0 -19 -3.8 -124.6 0.0 0.0 0 -1.62 0.0 0.0
Ava Giovando - 4 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 -0.2 -12 -2.4 -122.6 0.0 0.0 0 -0.99 0.0 0.0
Jaelyn Hill - 4 2.7 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 1.0 65 3.2 22.4 0.0 0.0 0 3.9 0.0 0.0
Jenna Bowman - 1 3.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
LaNyra McGill - 1 3.1 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG