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Ill. Springfield

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Ill. Springfield
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1318 (#6) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1290 (#15) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1206 (#10) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +11.9 (#80) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +7.5 (#251) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.999 (#70) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +33.9 More → 0.981 (#77) AdjNet +33.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +33.4 More → 0.982 (#77) AdjNet +33.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 82.4 | AdjD 58.7 More → 0.896 (#101) AdjO 82.4 | AdjD 58.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 66.4 More → 0.714 (#94) AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 66.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.776 (#125) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.777 (#102) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 22 More → 1314 (#14) RD 100 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Illinois Col. - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 vs Wis.-Oshkosh - Incomplete score
2025-11-19 vs UChicago - Incomplete score
2025-11-21 @ Wis. Lutheran - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 vs Kenyon - Incomplete score
2025-11-29 vs Wis.-Stout - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 @ Carthage - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 @ North Central (IL) - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 @ Elmhurst - Incomplete score
2025-12-18 @ WashU - Incomplete score
2025-12-29 @ Yeshiva - Incomplete score
2025-12-31 @ Hamilton - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 vs Carroll (WI) - Incomplete score
2026-01-07 vs Augustana (IL) - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs North Park - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 @ Wheaton (IL) - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 vs Millikin - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 @ Carroll (WI) - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 vs Carthage - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs North Central (IL) - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 vs Wheaton (IL) - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 vs Elmhurst - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Noah Cleveland - 22 32.3 19.4 11.5 2.0 1.6 1.9 2.2 12.8 21.3 191 9.1 39.1 60.6 21.9 51.7 4.24 61.3 61.9
Mason Funk - 22 29.5 14.0 6.0 2.4 1.9 2.2 1.9 11.5 13.0 185 8.8 41.5 46.2 32.6 67.2 3.72 54.6 52.2
Karlo Colak - 22 31.5 12.5 5.6 3.3 0.9 0.5 1.9 10.1 10.7 155 7.4 33.8 43.5 33.3 68.1 1.09 53.8 50.4
Casen Lawrence - 22 28.2 10.3 1.2 1.1 0.7 0.0 1.1 7.5 4.7 142 7.1 32.7 43.0 43.1 85.7 1.83 64.9 63.0
Josh Fridman - 6 19.0 7.7 1.0 2.2 0.3 0.0 1.3 4.5 5.3 39 7.8 73.4 48.1 36.4 76.2 2.71 63.5 55.6
Jackson Niego - 22 26.6 5.4 2.4 4.1 1.5 0.2 1.3 5.3 7.0 93 4.4 23.4 38.5 31.2 56.2 -1.64 48.0 47.0
Brady Kuehl - 22 11.0 3.3 2.4 0.5 0.3 0.7 0.6 3.5 3.2 2 0.1 1.3 40.8 23.8 46.2 -1.1 44.7 44.1
Brady Ruggles - 21 10.5 3.3 1.8 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.6 3.5 1.6 -16 -0.8 -18.4 28.4 25.9 81.2 -3.56 42.6 37.8
Connor Williams - 10 8.4 3.2 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.2 2.4 2.7 63 6.3 39.4 41.7 46.7 71.4 3.53 59.1 56.2
Nick Tingley - 7 3.4 2.9 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.6 1.3 1.7 26 4.3 132.5 66.7 50.0 85.7 2.49 82.8 77.8
David Williams - 20 9.5 1.8 1.3 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.8 0.9 2.8 14 0.8 10.2 50.0 36.4 65.0 1.52 65.3 61.1
Dylan Schmidt - 6 2.6 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.3 12 2.4 111.2 60.0 50.0 0 - 70.0 70.0
Anthony Kemp - 11 4.6 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.3 30 3.3 173.5 50.0 0 66.7 1.38 53.0 50.0
Luke Meyer - 7 2.8 1.0 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.1 1.0 1.9 23 3.8 142.6 42.9 0.0 25.0 - 40.0 42.9
Nathan Boldt - 16 10.5 0.8 2.1 0.2 0.1 0.8 0.6 1.2 2.2 -51 -3.2 -81.7 15.8 14.3 62.5 -4.95 26.6 18.4
Micah Meiss - 5 2.3 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.2 10 2.0 107.1 100.0 100.0 0 0.83 150.0 150.0
Alex Miller - 5 2.3 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 -0.2 9 2.2 88.2 25.0 0.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Bradley Biedke - 5 2.4 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.8 0.6 3 0.8 26.8 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Alec Schmidts - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Tucker Sennett - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG