Ill. Springfield
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1206 (#10) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +7.5 (#251) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.999 (#70) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.981 (#77) | AdjNet +33.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.982 (#77) | AdjNet +33.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.896 (#101) | AdjO 82.4 | AdjD 58.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.714 (#94) | AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 66.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.776 (#125) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.777 (#102) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1318 (#14) | RD 100 | GP 22 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-10 | vs | Ohio Wesleyan | W | 84 - 55 |
| 2023-11-11 | vs | Mary Hardin-Baylor | L | 68 - 71 |
| 2023-11-17 | @ | Wittenberg | W | 72 - 59 |
| 2023-11-18 | vs | Marietta | L | 63 - 67 |
| 2023-11-22 | @ | WashU | W | 76 - 50 |
| 2023-11-25 | vs | UChicago | W | 75 - 69 |
| 2023-11-29 | @ | Elmhurst | L | 73 - 90 |
| 2023-12-02 | vs | Carroll (WI) | W | 79 - 69 |
| 2023-12-06 | vs | North Park | W | 70 - 56 |
| 2023-12-09 | @ | North Central (IL) | W | 66 - 43 |
| 2023-12-13 | vs | Knox | W | 104 - 51 |
| 2023-12-18 | @ | Cal Lutheran | L | 52 - 58 |
| 2023-12-19 | vs | Redlands | L | 74 - 84 |
| 2023-12-30 | @ | Wis.-Stevens Point | L | 60 - 73 |
| 2024-01-07 | @ | Augustana (IL) | W | 77 - 64 |
| 2024-01-10 | vs | Millikin | W | 72 - 50 |
| 2024-01-13 | vs | Carthage | W | 71 - 63 |
| 2024-01-17 | @ | Wheaton (IL) | W | 78 - 77 |
| 2024-01-20 | @ | Carroll (WI) | W | 86 - 72 |
| 2024-01-24 | vs | Wheaton (IL) | W | 73 - 64 |
| 2024-01-27 | vs | Augustana (IL) | W | 64 - 60 |
| 2024-01-31 | @ | Millikin | L | 56 - 59 |
| 2024-02-07 | vs | Elmhurst | W | 79 - 67 |
| 2024-02-10 | @ | Carthage | W | 70 - 58 |
| 2024-02-14 | @ | North Park | W | 85 - 74 |
| 2024-02-17 | vs | North Central (IL) | W | 67 - 55 |
| 2024-02-23 | vs | North Central (IL) | W | 66 - 62 |
| 2024-02-24 | vs | Elmhurst | L | 64 - 68 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Johnson | - | 1 | 16.0 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 20 | 10.0 | 12.5 | 77.8 | 71.4 | 0 | 0.92 | 105.6 | 105.6 |
| Kyle Ingram | - | 1 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 77.8 | 66.7 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Jack Weber | - | 1 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 88.9 | 0 | 0 | - | 88.9 | 88.9 |
| Nick Roper | - | 27 | 27.4 | 12.4 | 5.9 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 9.1 | 10.1 | 17 | 8.5 | 12.4 | 51.2 | 34.5 | 67.7 | 0.89 | 58.4 | 55.3 |
| Harrison Wilmsen | - | 27 | 20.9 | 11.2 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 8.8 | 6.6 | 13 | 6.5 | 12.2 | 51.5 | 25.9 | 67.7 | 0.52 | 56.9 | 54.4 |
| Luke Yoder | - | 27 | 28.5 | 10.7 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 8.2 | 10.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 44.3 | 32.9 | 81.2 | 0.42 | 56.2 | 50.5 |
| Ryan Sroka | - | 27 | 27.5 | 9.7 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 8.4 | 6.1 | 15 | 7.5 | 10.1 | 45.6 | 27.7 | 78.6 | 0.95 | 53.6 | 50.7 |
| Max Kunnert | - | 1 | 19.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 133.3 | 133.3 |
| Yamani Shareef | - | 1 | 18.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 80.0 | 80.0 |
| Lane Thomann | - | 1 | 12.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 66.7 | 0 | - | 80.0 | 80.0 |
| Hakim Williams | - | 26 | 24.2 | 7.2 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 6.0 | 9.3 | 14 | 7.0 | 9.3 | 39.4 | 33.3 | 75.8 | 0.81 | 51.0 | 44.8 |
| Isaiah Esker | - | 1 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0 | 25.0 | - | 60.8 | 75.0 |
| Marko Anderson | - | 27 | 15.4 | 5.4 | 5.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 3.2 | 8.4 | 8 | 4.0 | 10.8 | 64.0 | 0 | 71.2 | 0.33 | 67.5 | 64.0 |
| Evan Altman | - | 1 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 20.0 | 0 | - | 35.7 | 35.7 |
| Jacob Hanna | - | 1 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 51.2 | 50.0 |
| Khalil Ross | - | 1 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | -97 | -16.2 | -48.2 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.77 | 51.2 | 50.0 |
| Trey Bazzell | - | 27 | 14.7 | 4.8 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 4.6 | 2.3 | 9 | 4.5 | 11.0 | 35.0 | 30.1 | 78.9 | 0.37 | 49.1 | 46.3 |
| Mason Funk | - | 26 | 10.7 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 86 | 7.2 | 172.6 | 45.8 | 33.3 | 55.6 | -0.02 | 54.6 | 54.2 |
| Jason Bergstrom | - | 1 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 25.0 | 0 | - | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Karlo Colak | - | 26 | 8.3 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 97 | 8.1 | 418.7 | 30.9 | 26.0 | 66.7 | -0.45 | 40.1 | 38.9 |
| Britton Dutton | - | 1 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Jackson Niego | - | 26 | 10.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 70 | 5.8 | 121.0 | 31.8 | 28.0 | 50.0 | 0.24 | 40.4 | 39.8 |
| Shane Miller | - | 27 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 45.0 | 14.3 | 56.2 | -1.57 | 51.8 | 47.5 |
| Evan Schneider | - | 27 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.4 | -4 | -4.0 | -32.3 | 47.8 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.76 | 47.8 | 47.8 |
| Nathan Boldt | - | 26 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.7 | -7 | -1.2 | -730.4 | 27.3 | 0.0 | 81.8 | -1.57 | 47.3 | 27.3 |
| Julien Hussherr | - | 8 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Nick Tingley | - | 24 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -1.57 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Grant Hardy | - | 27 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | -1 | -1.0 | -10.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | -0.87 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Brady Kuehl | - | 26 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 6 | 0.7 | 626.1 | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.57 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Dylan Schmidt | - | 24 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| David Williams | - | 27 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | -1.57 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Jordan Rice | - | 1 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Adam Beasley | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ofri Kauf | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Pryce Punkay | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Asa Smith | - | 10 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Valentine | - | 11 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG