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Ill. Springfield

Also known as: Ill. Springfield
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1318 (#6) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1290 (#15) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1206 (#10) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +11.9 (#80) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +7.5 (#251) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.999 (#70) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +33.9 More → 0.981 (#77) AdjNet +33.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +33.4 More → 0.982 (#77) AdjNet +33.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 82.4 | AdjD 58.7 More → 0.896 (#101) AdjO 82.4 | AdjD 58.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 66.4 More → 0.714 (#94) AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 66.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.776 (#125) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.777 (#102) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 22 More → 1314 (#14) RD 100 | GP 22

2024 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2023-11-10 vs Ohio Wesleyan - Incomplete score
2023-11-11 vs Mary Hardin-Baylor - Incomplete score
2023-11-17 @ Wittenberg - Incomplete score
2023-11-18 vs Marietta - Incomplete score
2023-11-22 @ WashU - Incomplete score
2023-11-25 vs UChicago - Incomplete score
2023-11-29 @ Elmhurst - Incomplete score
2023-12-02 vs Carroll (WI) - Incomplete score
2023-12-06 vs North Park - Incomplete score
2023-12-09 @ North Central (IL) - Incomplete score
2023-12-13 vs Knox - Incomplete score
2023-12-18 @ Cal Lutheran - Incomplete score
2023-12-19 vs Redlands - Incomplete score
2023-12-30 @ Wis.-Stevens Point - Incomplete score
2024-01-07 @ Augustana (IL) - Incomplete score
2024-01-10 vs Millikin - Incomplete score
2024-01-13 vs Carthage - Incomplete score
2024-01-17 @ Wheaton (IL) - Incomplete score
2024-01-20 @ Carroll (WI) - Incomplete score
2024-01-24 vs Wheaton (IL) - Incomplete score
2024-01-27 vs Augustana (IL) - Incomplete score
2024-01-31 @ Millikin - Incomplete score
2024-02-07 vs Elmhurst - Incomplete score
2024-02-10 @ Carthage - Incomplete score
2024-02-14 @ North Park - Incomplete score
2024-02-17 vs North Central (IL) - Incomplete score
2024-02-23 vs North Central (IL) - Incomplete score
2024-02-24 vs Elmhurst - Incomplete score

2024 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nick Roper - 27 27.4 12.4 5.9 1.7 0.8 0.5 2.0 9.1 10.1 17 8.5 12.4 51.2 34.5 67.7 0.89 58.4 55.3
Harrison Wilmsen - 27 20.9 11.2 3.9 1.1 0.4 0.3 1.4 8.8 6.6 13 6.5 12.2 51.5 25.9 67.7 0.52 56.9 54.4
Luke Yoder - 27 28.5 10.7 4.5 3.9 1.3 0.1 2.3 8.2 10.0 0 0.0 0.0 44.3 32.9 81.2 0.42 56.2 50.5
Ryan Sroka - 27 27.5 9.7 4.1 1.5 0.5 0.1 1.4 8.4 6.1 15 7.5 10.1 45.6 27.7 78.6 0.95 53.6 50.7
Hakim Williams - 26 24.2 7.2 5.3 2.2 1.4 0.9 1.7 6.0 9.3 14 7.0 9.3 39.4 33.3 75.8 0.81 51.0 44.8
Marko Anderson - 27 15.4 5.4 5.7 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.9 3.2 8.4 8 4.0 10.8 64.0 0 71.2 0.33 67.5 64.0
Trey Bazzell - 27 14.7 4.8 1.2 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.6 4.6 2.3 9 4.5 11.0 35.0 30.1 78.9 0.37 49.1 46.3
Mason Funk - 26 10.7 3.2 1.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 2.8 2.7 86 7.2 172.6 45.8 33.3 55.6 -0.02 54.6 54.2
Karlo Colak - 26 8.3 2.6 1.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 3.1 0.8 97 8.1 418.7 30.9 26.0 66.7 -0.45 40.1 38.9
Jackson Niego - 26 10.0 1.4 1.2 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.5 1.7 2.0 70 5.8 121.0 31.8 28.0 50.0 0.24 40.4 39.8
Shane Miller - 27 3.0 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.3 0 0.0 0.0 45.0 14.3 56.2 -1.57 51.8 47.5
Evan Schneider - 27 3.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.9 0.4 -4 -4.0 -32.3 47.8 0.0 0 -0.76 47.8 47.8
Nathan Boldt - 26 2.8 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 -7 -1.2 -730.4 27.3 0.0 81.8 -1.57 47.3 27.3
Julien Hussherr - 8 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Nick Tingley - 24 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0 0.0 0.0 50.0 33.3 0 -1.57 62.5 62.5
Grant Hardy - 27 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 -1 -1.0 -10.3 33.3 0 0 -0.87 33.3 33.3
Brady Kuehl - 26 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 6 0.7 626.1 25.0 0 0 -1.57 25.0 25.0
Dylan Schmidt - 24 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 - - - 20.0 50.0 0 - 30.0 30.0
David Williams - 27 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0 0.0 0.0 66.7 0 0 -1.57 66.7 66.7
Adam Beasley - 7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ofri Kauf - 8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Pryce Punkay - 6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Asa Smith - 10 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Nathan Valentine - 11 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG