Ill. Springfield
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2023 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1206 (#10) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +7.5 (#251) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.999 (#70) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.981 (#77) | AdjNet +33.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.982 (#77) | AdjNet +33.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.896 (#101) | AdjO 82.4 | AdjD 58.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.714 (#94) | AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 66.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.776 (#125) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.777 (#102) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1315 (#13) | RD 100 | GP 22 |
2023 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-12 | vs | Yeshiva | W | 76 - 71 |
| 2022-11-13 | vs | Wis.-Stevens Point | L | 67 - 71 |
| 2022-11-18 | vs | Neb. Wesleyan | W | 73 - 67 |
| 2022-11-19 | @ | Saint Joseph (CT) | L | 64 - 73 |
| 2022-11-26 | @ | Wis.-Oshkosh | L | 47 - 66 |
| 2022-11-30 | @ | Elmhurst | W | 68 - 54 |
| 2022-12-03 | @ | Carroll (WI) | W | 73 - 59 |
| 2022-12-10 | vs | North Central (IL) | W | 87 - 85 |
| 2022-12-17 | vs | Wheaton (IL) | L | 58 - 79 |
| 2022-12-20 | @ | UChicago | W | 67 - 63 |
| 2023-01-03 | vs | WashU | L | 61 - 63 |
| 2023-01-07 | @ | Carthage | L | 48 - 69 |
| 2023-01-11 | vs | Millikin | W | 73 - 68 |
| 2023-01-14 | vs | Augustana (IL) | W | 65 - 50 |
| 2023-01-18 | vs | North Park | L | 70 - 74 |
| 2023-01-21 | @ | Wheaton (IL) | L | 71 - 72 |
| 2023-01-23 | @ | Linfield | W | 76 - 68 |
| 2023-01-24 | @ | George Fox | W | 77 - 65 |
| 2023-01-28 | @ | Augustana (IL) | L | 80 - 89 |
| 2023-02-01 | vs | Elmhurst | L | 64 - 74 |
| 2023-02-04 | vs | Carroll (WI) | W | 79 - 61 |
| 2023-02-08 | @ | Millikin | W | 57 - 51 |
| 2023-02-11 | @ | North Central (IL) | L | 78 - 85 |
| 2023-02-15 | @ | North Park | L | 57 - 63 |
| 2023-02-18 | vs | Carthage | L | 67 - 69 |
| 2023-02-21 | @ | Carthage | L | 69 - 74 |
2023 Roster
No roster data available for this season.