Ill. Springfield
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2022 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1206 (#10) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +7.5 (#251) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.999 (#70) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.981 (#77) | AdjNet +33.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.982 (#77) | AdjNet +33.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.896 (#101) | AdjO 82.4 | AdjD 58.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.714 (#94) | AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 66.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.776 (#125) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.777 (#102) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1315 (#13) | RD 100 | GP 22 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-07 | vs | Lake Forest | W | 81 - 61 |
| 2021-11-12 | vs | Hope | W | 87 - 74 |
| 2021-11-13 | vs | Wis.-Oshkosh | W | 65 - 63 |
| 2021-11-19 | @ | Alma | W | 91 - 74 |
| 2021-11-20 | @ | Calvin | W | 81 - 72 |
| 2021-12-01 | vs | UChicago | W | 83 - 50 |
| 2021-12-04 | vs | Carroll (WI) | W | 63 - 44 |
| 2021-12-11 | @ | Wheaton (IL) | L | 62 - 67 |
| 2021-12-15 | @ | North Central (IL) | W | 73 - 48 |
| 2021-12-19 | @ | WashU | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2021-12-30 | @ | Yeshiva | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2022-01-12 | vs | Millikin | W | 78 - 67 |
| 2022-01-15 | vs | Augustana (IL) | W | 83 - 78 |
| 2022-01-17 | vs | Elmhurst | W | 80 - 76 |
| 2022-01-19 | @ | North Park | W | 63 - 58 |
| 2022-01-22 | @ | Carroll (WI) | W | 72 - 54 |
| 2022-01-24 | @ | Carthage | W | 89 - 72 |
| 2022-01-26 | @ | Elmhurst | L | 66 - 74 |
| 2022-01-29 | vs | Concordia Chicago | L | 75 - 81 |
| 2022-02-05 | vs | Carthage | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-07 | vs | North Park | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-09 | @ | Millikin | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-12 | vs | Wheaton (IL) | W | 79 - 71 |
| 2022-02-16 | vs | North Central (IL) | W | 78 - 65 |
| 2022-02-19 | @ | Augustana (IL) | W | 70 - 64 |
| 2022-02-25 | vs | North Central (IL) | L | 74 - 81 |
| 2022-03-04 | vs | Franklin | W | 73 - 55 |
| 2022-03-05 | vs | Wis.-La Crosse | W | 65 - 56 |
| 2022-03-11 | vs | Wheaton (IL) | W | 77 - 73 |
| 2022-03-12 | vs | Wabash | L | 75 - 81 |
2022 Roster
No roster data available for this season.