Ill. Springfield
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2021 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1206 (#10) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +7.5 (#251) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.999 (#70) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.981 (#77) | AdjNet +33.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.982 (#77) | AdjNet +33.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.896 (#101) | AdjO 82.4 | AdjD 58.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.714 (#94) | AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 66.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.776 (#125) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.777 (#102) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1318 (#14) | RD 100 | GP 22 |
2021 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-01-23 | @ | Carroll (WI) | W | 74 - 59 |
| 2021-01-25 | vs | Carroll (WI) | - | Preview |
| 2021-02-04 | @ | North Central (IL) | - | Preview |
| 2021-02-06 | vs | North Central (IL) | W | 91 - 77 |
| 2021-02-09 | @ | Augustana (IL) | - | Preview |
| 2021-02-11 | vs | Augustana (IL) | - | Preview |
| 2021-02-12 | vs | North Park | W | 81 - 56 |
| 2021-02-16 | @ | Millikin | W | 74 - 60 |
| 2021-02-25 | vs | Millikin | W | 86 - 71 |
| 2021-02-27 | @ | North Park | L | 74 - 76 |
| 2021-03-06 | vs | North Park | W | 75 - 55 |
| 2021-03-09 | vs | Elmhurst | - | Preview |
| 2021-03-12 | @ | Wheaton (IL) | W | 71 - 58 |
2021 Roster
No roster data available for this season.