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IU Indianapolis

Also known as: IUPUI Jaguars
Program History

Model Outputs

2009-2010
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1109 (#105) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1127 (#91) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +96 elo More โ†’ 1096 (#51) HCA +96 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +4.0 (#120) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +5.3 (#104) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.713 (#74) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +5.8 More โ†’ 0.661 (#118) AdjNet +5.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +5.8 More โ†’ 0.661 (#118) AdjNet +5.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 66.3 More โ†’ 0.591 (#112) AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 66.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.6 | AdjD 64.8 More โ†’ 0.629 (#66) AdjO 70.6 | AdjD 64.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.638 (#100) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.646 (#93) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 107 | GP 33 More โ†’ 1088 (#108) RD 107 | GP 33

2010 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2009-11-14 @ Drake Bulldogs W 88 - 82
2009-11-18 @ Eastern Illinois Panthers W 69 - 66
2009-11-20 vs Austin Peay Governors W 77 - 63
2009-11-21 @ Auburn Tigers L 65 - 80
2009-11-22 vs Georgia State Panthers W 67 - 56
2009-11-25 vs Indiana-East Red Wolves W 98 - 67
2009-11-28 @ Kansas State Wildcats L 57 - 70
2009-12-03 vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits W 79 - 57
2009-12-05 vs North Dakota State Bison W 86 - 74
2009-12-09 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 70 - 93
2009-12-12 vs Indiana South Bend Titans W 92 - 56
2009-12-19 vs Duquesne Dukes W 73 - 64
2009-12-23 @ Indiana State Sycamores L 59 - 72
2009-12-28 @ Memphis Tigers L 67 - 87
2009-12-31 @ Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons W 79 - 69
2010-01-02 @ Oakland Golden Grizzlies L 82 - 85
2010-01-06 vs Ohio Bobcats L 62 - 63
2010-01-09 vs Western Illinois Leathernecks W 67 - 54
2010-01-14 vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles W 90 - 87
2010-01-16 vs Centenary Louisiana Gentlemen W 74 - 58
2010-01-21 @ Southern Utah Thunderbirds W 75 - 60
2010-01-23 @ Kansas City Roos W 65 - 64
2010-01-28 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 78 - 54
2010-01-31 vs Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons L 60 - 62
2010-02-06 @ Western Illinois Leathernecks W 70 - 42
2010-02-13 @ Oral Roberts Golden Eagles L 60 - 61
2010-02-18 vs Kansas City Roos W 103 - 65
2010-02-20 vs Southern Utah Thunderbirds W 77 - 61
2010-02-25 @ North Dakota State Bison W 66 - 52
2010-02-27 @ South Dakota State Jackrabbits W 86 - 76
2010-03-06 vs Western Illinois Leathernecks W 77 - 68
2010-03-08 vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles W 69 - 65
2010-03-09 @ Oakland Golden Grizzlies L 64 - 76
2010-03-17 @ Hofstra Pride W 74 - 60
2010-03-22 vs Princeton Tigers L 68 - 74

2010 Roster

No roster data available for this season.