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Howard

Also known as: Howard Bison
Program History

2017 Team Stats (5 games)

65.6
PPG
71.4
Opp
-5.8
Margin
38.1%
FG%
29.9%
3P%
63.2%
FT%
38.4
RPG
9.6
APG
13.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
60.1
Adj PPG
73.7
Adj Opp PPG
#335
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 626 (#336) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 724 (#336) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More โ†’ 937 (#265) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -14.6 (#334) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -14.9 (#335) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.178 (#328) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -22.8 More โ†’ 0.067 (#337) AdjNet -22.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -23.0 More โ†’ 0.065 (#337) AdjNet -23.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.1 | AdjD 73.7 More โ†’ 0.225 (#335) AdjO 60.1 | AdjD 73.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.1 | AdjD 70.9 More โ†’ 0.332 (#319) AdjO 63.1 | AdjD 70.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.173 (#335) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.189 (#334) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 128 | GP 32 More โ†’ 689 (#339) RD 128 | GP 32

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 @ Michigan Wolverines L 58 - 76
2016-11-14 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 49 - 81
2016-11-18 @ IU Indianapolis Jaguars L 55 - 77
2016-11-19 @ Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs L 78 - 94
2016-11-27 @ Georgetown Hoyas L 72 - 85
2016-12-03 vs American University Eagles W 71 - 54
2016-12-07 @ Maryland Terrapins L 56 - 79
2016-12-10 @ George Washington Revolutionaries L 62 - 79
2016-12-14 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks L 59 - 72
2016-12-16 vs Shenandoah Hornets W 77 - 66
2016-12-18 vs Central Penn Knights W 67 - 60
2016-12-22 @ Old Dominion Monarchs L 46 - 65
2016-12-27 @ VCU Rams L 51 - 85
2016-12-30 @ Harvard Crimson L 46 - 67
2017-01-04 vs Florida A&M Rattlers L 66 - 78
2017-01-07 @ Columbia Lions L 48 - 66
2017-01-14 @ Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks W 74 - 66
2017-01-16 vs Coppin State Eagles L 72 - 81
2017-01-21 @ North Carolina A&T Aggies W 78 - 63
2017-01-23 @ North Carolina Central Eagles L 39 - 74
2017-01-28 vs Savannah State Tigers L 70 - 73
2017-01-30 vs South Carolina State Bulldogs L 68 - 77
2017-02-04 @ Florida A&M Rattlers L 62 - 71
2017-02-06 @ Bethune-Cookman Wildcats L 67 - 71
2017-02-11 @ Hampton Pirates L 61 - 75
2017-02-13 vs Morgan State Bears W 70 - 67
2017-02-18 vs North Carolina A&T Aggies W 84 - 53
2017-02-20 vs North Carolina Central Eagles L 59 - 66
2017-02-25 @ Norfolk State Spartans L 65 - 73
2017-02-27 vs Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks W 79 - 69
2017-03-02 @ Delaware State Hornets L 56 - 66
2017-03-06 @ Coppin State Eagles W 79 - 73
2017-03-09 @ Morgan State Bears W 68 - 65
2017-03-10 @ Norfolk State Spartans L 53 - 68

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J.T. Miller J.T. Miller G 11 30.8 16.1 3.9 2.4 1.7 0.5 3.3 5.0 16.3 -111 17 -6.5 -10.9 40.0 28.6 66.7 -0.94 122.6 43.6
Charles Williams Charles Williams G 14 30.6 15.3 2.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 1.4 9.4 8.2 -179 24 -7.5 -11.8 40.9 33.9 70.3 -1.06 72.2 48.9
Solomon Mangham Solomon Mangham F 14 33.1 11.1 6.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.1 6.1 12.5 -217 24 -9.0 -13.7 28.2 25.5 61.1 -1.87 83.9 35.9
Damon Collins Damon Collins G 12 30.9 10.3 4.3 2.2 1.0 0.2 3.3 3.0 11.8 -183 20 -9.2 -13.5 47.2 60.0 83.3 -4.44 126.0 51.4
Marcel Boyd Marcel Boyd G 11 22.2 5.3 5.5 0.8 0.4 0.5 2.2 2.4 7.9 -172 22 -7.8 -15.4 42.3 0 60.7 -3.25 75.7 42.3
Dalique Mingo Dalique Mingo G 9 19.4 4.3 2.3 1.4 0.7 0.0 1.3 2.3 5.1 -95 11 -8.6 -15.7 33.3 50.0 73.3 0.93 70.7 35.7
Kofi Andoh Kofi Andoh G 13 16.6 3.4 3.1 0.8 0.8 0.1 1.2 1.8 5.2 -144 23 -6.3 -15.9 30.4 0.0 68.0 -4.32 64.7 30.4
Tyler Stone Tyler Stone F 13 15.9 3.2 3.4 0.6 0.3 0.9 0.7 1.2 6.5 -89 24 -3.7 -9.8 37.5 0 60.9 0.46 80.4 37.5
Cameron Lewis Cameron Lewis C 11 6.7 2.4 1.5 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.5 1.6 2.3 -20 14 -1.4 -8.9 66.7 0.0 50.0 -0.31 68.9 66.7
Michael Obindu Michael Obindu C 9 11.3 1.2 1.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.6 2.7 -53 10 -5.3 -28.8 40.0 0 25.0 -2.95 81.4 40.0
Ausar Madison Ausar Madison G 7 10.4 1.1 0.9 1.1 1.1 0.0 1.0 0.9 2.4 -74 10 -7.4 -29.6 33.3 0 37.5 -3.9 42.0 33.3
Jalen Jones Jalen Jones F 12 7.9 0.8 1.8 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 2.2 -40 21 -1.9 -9.6 33.3 0 25.0 -0.84 58.0 33.3
Chuck Smith Chuck Smith G 5 2.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 -0.2 -2 11 -0.2 -2.0 0.0 0 50.0 -1.1 26.6 0.0
Prince Okoroh Prince Okoroh G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 -0.8 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG