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Howard

2014 Team Stats (3 games)

59.3
PPG
74.3
Opp
-15.0
Margin
35.0%
FG%
28.2%
3P%
72.8%
FT%
30.0
RPG
7.3
APG
14.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
58.4
Adj PPG
72.1
Adj Opp PPG
#336
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 693 (#343) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 710 (#334) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More โ†’ 891 (#311) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -14.6 (#336) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -14.3 (#336) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.117 (#344) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -22.6 More โ†’ 0.068 (#341) AdjNet -22.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -22.8 More โ†’ 0.067 (#341) AdjNet -22.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 58.4 | AdjD 72.1 More โ†’ 0.223 (#336) AdjO 58.4 | AdjD 72.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 59.6 | AdjD 69.5 More โ†’ 0.290 (#336) AdjO 59.6 | AdjD 69.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.159 (#340) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.169 (#341) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 140 | GP 31 More โ†’ 679 (#339) RD 140 | GP 31

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-08 vs Washington Maryland Shoremen W 69 - 52
2013-11-10 vs Gwynedd Mercy Griffins W 83 - 66
2013-11-13 @ Old Dominion Monarchs L 57 - 77
2013-11-15 @ Harvard Crimson L 44 - 76
2013-11-17 @ Pittsburgh Panthers L 52 - 84
2013-11-21 @ Houston Cougars L 62 - 75
2013-11-25 @ South Dakota State Jackrabbits L 65 - 77
2013-11-26 vs Texas Southern Tigers L 54 - 63
2013-11-30 vs William & Mary Tribe L 79 - 84
2013-12-04 @ American University Eagles L 53 - 76
2013-12-07 @ Morgan State Bears L 58 - 87
2013-12-11 @ UCF Knights L 64 - 79
2013-12-14 @ Fordham Rams L 60 - 79
2013-12-15 vs Delaware State Hornets W 64 - 62
2013-12-17 @ Liberty Flames L 59 - 77
2013-12-29 @ USC Trojans L 60 - 82
2014-01-04 @ Charleston Cougars L 50 - 60
2014-01-13 vs Savannah State Tigers L 54 - 56
2014-01-18 vs Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks W 88 - 55
2014-01-25 @ Florida A&M Rattlers W 69 - 62
2014-01-27 @ Bethune-Cookman Wildcats L 47 - 58
2014-02-01 vs North Carolina Central Eagles L 65 - 79
2014-02-03 vs North Carolina A&T Aggies W 68 - 60
2014-02-08 @ Hampton Pirates L 47 - 63
2014-02-10 @ Norfolk State Spartans L 49 - 75
2014-02-15 @ Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks L 73 - 87
2014-02-22 vs Hampton Pirates L 78 - 81
2014-02-24 vs Norfolk State Spartans L 60 - 66
2014-03-01 @ Delaware State Hornets W 55 - 53
2014-03-03 @ Coppin State Eagles L 69 - 86
2014-03-06 vs Morgan State Bears L 66 - 68
2014-03-11 vs North Carolina A&T Aggies W 53 - 47
2014-03-12 @ North Carolina Central Eagles L 46 - 92

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
James Daniel James Daniel F 25 32.1 21.1 2.5 1.6 1.4 0.0 3.3 3.8 19.5 -96 16 -6.0 -9.1 34.7 36.7 84.9 2.33 223.1 44.2
Prince Okoroh Prince Okoroh G 28 32.9 13.4 5.1 1.1 1.5 0.5 2.6 2.5 16.5 -216 20 -10.8 -15.2 42.9 60.0 81.2 -4.78 206.3 45.0
Solomon Mangham Solomon Mangham F 27 20.4 6.1 3.0 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.9 1.2 7.8 -114 19 -6.0 -11.4 33.3 25.0 80.0 0.35 208.3 37.9
J.T. Miller J.T. Miller G 20 17.1 5.3 1.9 0.6 0.8 0.3 1.5 0.6 6.7 -35 14 -2.5 -6.7 33.3 20.0 100.0 -0.52 397.9 37.5
Tyler Stone Tyler Stone F 28 20.6 4.6 4.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.2 0.5 8.4 -105 19 -5.5 -15.1 35.7 0.0 62.5 -3.78 371.0 35.7
Marcel Boyd Marcel Boyd G 28 17.0 3.6 4.2 0.5 0.2 0.8 1.1 0.6 7.5 -111 20 -5.5 -15.1 47.1 0 33.3 -2.51 224.4 47.1
Oliver Ellison Oliver Ellison C 25 21.6 2.7 4.6 0.4 0.5 1.4 0.9 0.4 8.4 -94 19 -4.9 -11.0 50.0 0 20.0 -2.18 278.7 50.0
Damon Collins Damon Collins G 28 19.0 2.7 2.0 0.9 0.7 0.0 2.1 0.9 3.2 -100 20 -5.0 -14.1 30.8 0.0 40.0 -3.47 115.0 30.8
Keon Hill Keon Hill G 28 11.4 2.4 0.5 1.6 0.1 0.0 1.1 0.7 2.9 -105 20 -5.2 -16.0 26.3 25.0 33.3 -0.97 154.8 31.6
Kofi Andoh Kofi Andoh G 27 11.6 2.3 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.7 0.1 3.2 -85 20 -4.2 -15.9 25.0 0 81.8 -3.74 350.7 25.0
Ausar Madison Ausar Madison G 17 13.9 2.0 1.4 1.9 0.6 0.0 1.6 0.2 4.1 -30 14 -2.1 -7.8 0.0 0 0 0.98 566.7 0.0
Emmanuel Okoro Emmanuel Okoro C 3 3.7 0.7 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7 - - - - 0 0 0.0 -0.82 113.6 0
Jared Norsworthy Jared Norsworthy G 12 2.5 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.8 10 9 1.1 20.2 0.0 0.0 25.0 0.46 73.5 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG