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Howard

Also known as: Howard Bison
Program History

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1176 (#236) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1029 (#348) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 832 (#582) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +14.7 (#349) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -3.6 (#368) HCA +3.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 53.1 | AdjD 59.5 More → 0.358 (#551) AdjO 53.1 | AdjD 59.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.286 (#456) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.276 (#484) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 144 | GP 31 More → 707 (#587) RD 144 | GP 31

2013 Schedule & Results

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
M. Phillips M. Phillips F 31 34.8 12.0 6.9 1.0 0.8 0.7 2.3 2.1 17.0 -150 -5.0 -6.8 46.2 50.0 66.7 -0.21 249.9 46.9
C. Thompson C. Thompson G 16 26.4 11.3 3.5 1.6 0.9 0.2 2.1 1.6 13.8 -68 -4.2 -7.1 34.6 40.0 85.7 -0.18 311.2 42.3
Shane Frazier Shane Frazier G 28 31.0 8.0 2.8 3.8 1.6 0.1 3.7 1.6 10.9 -191 -6.8 -9.9 34.8 35.3 50.0 -1.26 218.4 41.3
P. Okoroh P. Okoroh G 31 29.3 6.9 4.6 0.9 1.2 0.8 1.9 1.2 11.3 -172 -5.5 -8.6 22.2 0.0 40.0 -0.77 264.9 22.2
A. Dickerson A. Dickerson G 30 16.6 6.4 1.6 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.2 1.5 6.2 2 0.2 1.3 36.4 33.3 100.0 -0.09 215.0 45.5
A. Leary A. Leary F-C 31 27.3 5.2 5.9 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.3 1.0 10.9 -187 -6.2 -10.4 48.4 0 52.6 -1.45 203.3 48.4
T. Lee T. Lee G 30 24.2 5.0 3.0 1.2 0.5 0.2 1.7 1.1 7.2 -169 -5.6 -9.3 18.8 11.1 100.0 -0.94 222.2 21.9
O. Ellison O. Ellison C 1 22.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
B. Ford B. Ford G 27 13.9 2.9 1.3 0.8 0.6 0.0 1.0 0.6 3.9 5 1.0 1.5 23.5 0.0 50.0 0.17 207.9 23.5
T. Boyomo T. Boyomo C 29 13.0 1.3 2.7 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.2 4.0 -72 -2.6 -6.5 16.7 0 25.0 -0.27 238.4 16.7
A. Smith A. Smith - 8 1.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 97 1.4 2.7 0 0 0 0.61 0 0
E. Okoro E. Okoro C 18 3.7 0.1 0.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.6 -36 -2.6 -14.7 0.0 0.0 0 -0.33 50.0 0.0
F. Estriplet F. Estriplet - 3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG