Howard
Model Outputs
2012-2013
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1176 (#236) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1029 (#348) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 832 (#582) | HCA +147 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +14.7 (#349) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -3.6 (#368) | HCA +3.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.358 (#551) | AdjO 53.1 | AdjD 59.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.286 (#456) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.276 (#484) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 707 (#587) | RD 144 | GP 31 |
2013 Schedule & Results
2013 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M. Phillips
|
F | 31 | 34.8 | 12.0 | 6.9 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 17.0 | -150 | -5.0 | -6.8 | 46.2 | 50.0 | 66.7 | -0.21 | 249.9 | 46.9 |
C. Thompson
|
G | 16 | 26.4 | 11.3 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 13.8 | -68 | -4.2 | -7.1 | 34.6 | 40.0 | 85.7 | -0.18 | 311.2 | 42.3 |
Shane Frazier
|
G | 28 | 31.0 | 8.0 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 10.9 | -191 | -6.8 | -9.9 | 34.8 | 35.3 | 50.0 | -1.26 | 218.4 | 41.3 |
P. Okoroh
|
G | 31 | 29.3 | 6.9 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 11.3 | -172 | -5.5 | -8.6 | 22.2 | 0.0 | 40.0 | -0.77 | 264.9 | 22.2 |
A. Dickerson
|
G | 30 | 16.6 | 6.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 6.2 | 2 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 36.4 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -0.09 | 215.0 | 45.5 |
A. Leary
|
F-C | 31 | 27.3 | 5.2 | 5.9 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 10.9 | -187 | -6.2 | -10.4 | 48.4 | 0 | 52.6 | -1.45 | 203.3 | 48.4 |
T. Lee
|
G | 30 | 24.2 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 7.2 | -169 | -5.6 | -9.3 | 18.8 | 11.1 | 100.0 | -0.94 | 222.2 | 21.9 |
O. Ellison
|
C | 1 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
B. Ford
|
G | 27 | 13.9 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 3.9 | 5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 23.5 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.17 | 207.9 | 23.5 |
T. Boyomo
|
C | 29 | 13.0 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 4.0 | -72 | -2.6 | -6.5 | 16.7 | 0 | 25.0 | -0.27 | 238.4 | 16.7 |
A. Smith
|
- | 8 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 97 | 1.4 | 2.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.61 | 0 | 0 |
E. Okoro
|
C | 18 | 3.7 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | -36 | -2.6 | -14.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.33 | 50.0 | 0.0 |
F. Estriplet
|
- | 3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG