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Howard

2011 Team Stats (2 games)

47.0
PPG
64.0
Opp
-17.0
Margin
30.8%
FG%
20.0%
3P%
46.0%
FT%
38.5
RPG
7.5
APG
13.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
55.3
Adj PPG
71.6
Adj Opp PPG
#339
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2010-2011
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 514 (#342) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 724 (#331) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +91 elo More โ†’ 870 (#326) HCA +91 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -17.3 (#337) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -18.8 (#340) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.101 (#337) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -26.1 More โ†’ 0.047 (#338) AdjNet -26.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -26.4 More โ†’ 0.045 (#338) AdjNet -26.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 55.3 | AdjD 71.6 More โ†’ 0.185 (#339) AdjO 55.3 | AdjD 71.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 58.3 | AdjD 70.3 More โ†’ 0.251 (#336) AdjO 58.3 | AdjD 70.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.124 (#340) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.133 (#340) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 146 | GP 27 More โ†’ 657 (#336) RD 146 | GP 27

2011 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2010-11-12 vs Bowling Green Falcons W 54 - 52
2010-11-14 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 40 - 76
2010-11-19 @ Delaware Blue Hens L 34 - 66
2010-11-21 @ St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers L 52 - 70
2010-11-23 vs American University Eagles L 54 - 66
2010-11-27 vs Oregon State Beavers L 74 - 84
2010-12-01 @ William & Mary Tribe L 62 - 76
2010-12-04 @ Hampton Pirates L 55 - 67
2010-12-07 @ Fairfield Stags L 52 - 72
2010-12-22 vs Loyola Maryland Greyhounds W 69 - 65
2010-12-28 vs Rider Broncs L 64 - 78
2011-01-02 vs George Washington Colonials L 50 - 85
2011-01-04 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 63 - 84
2011-01-08 @ Morgan State Bears L 62 - 75
2011-01-10 @ Coppin State Eagles L 53 - 84
2011-01-15 vs North Carolina A&T Aggies L 65 - 78
2011-01-17 vs Norfolk State Spartans L 53 - 63
2011-01-22 @ Florida A&M Rattlers L 38 - 45
2011-01-24 @ Bethune-Cookman Wildcats L 49 - 56
2011-01-29 vs Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks W 77 - 73
2011-01-31 vs Delaware State Hornets W 70 - 67
2011-02-14 @ Norfolk State Spartans L 68 - 76
2011-02-19 vs Florida A&M Rattlers W 59 - 50
2011-02-21 vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats L 64 - 66
2011-02-26 @ Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks L 63 - 73
2011-03-03 vs Hampton Pirates L 72 - 83
2011-03-09 @ Norfolk State Spartans L 53 - 68

2011 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Anton Dickerson Anton Dickerson G 15 25.1 11.2 2.7 0.7 0.8 0.0 1.4 3.4 10.6 -105 19 -5.5 -9.6 25.5 21.2 75.0 0.59 149.3 32.4
Mike Phillips Mike Phillips F 15 31.8 10.9 7.7 0.7 0.4 0.7 3.5 4.4 12.5 -177 19 -9.3 -13.5 34.8 0 67.6 -2.78 101.3 34.8
Dadrian Collins Dadrian Collins F 15 35.3 10.1 5.1 1.5 0.5 0.1 2.2 3.6 11.6 -178 19 -9.4 -12.4 25.9 20.6 64.3 -2.74 125.5 32.4
Kyle Riley Kyle Riley G 15 36.6 10.0 2.8 3.9 1.6 0.0 2.7 3.9 11.7 -108 15 -7.2 -9.1 40.7 29.4 53.3 -0.12 114.3 44.9
Calvin Thompson Calvin Thompson G 2 28.5 10.0 3.0 2.5 1.5 0.5 3.0 7.5 7.0 - - - - 40.0 50.0 66.7 0.15 52.7 46.7
Alphonso Leary Alphonso Leary F-C 15 29.6 9.3 6.5 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.9 3.5 11.6 -156 19 -8.2 -13.8 34.0 0 54.3 -3.42 102.3 34.0
Gary Lawrence Gary Lawrence F 12 20.9 4.7 4.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 1.6 1.4 7.7 -85 17 -5.0 -12.4 41.2 0 62.5 -2.69 136.5 41.2
Bryce Fluellen Bryce Fluellen - 2 3.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
David Naves David Naves G 3 7.7 1.0 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 1.3 1.3 -0.7 -70 9 -7.8 -42.9 25.0 0 50.0 -5.82 30.7 25.0
Kendall Salley Kendall Salley - 1 13.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Charles DeCosta Charles DeCosta C 11 10.7 0.8 1.5 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 2.1 -38 12 -3.2 -14.4 0.0 0 22.2 -1.87 64.7 0.0
Julian Washington Julian Washington NA 7 2.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.0 1.3 -15 9 -1.7 -37.6 0 0 50.0 -1.79 284.1 0
Clinton Cuffee Clinton Cuffee G 13 10.5 0.6 1.2 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.7 0.6 2.2 -98 18 -5.4 -18.2 12.5 0 50.0 -3.82 37.6 12.5

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG