Howard
Model Outputs
2001-2002
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 900 (#211) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 996 (#167) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1039 (#108) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -5.0 (#227) | HCA +4.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -5.1 (#227) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.570 (#122) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.295 (#230) | AdjNet -7.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.291 (#231) | AdjNet -7.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.412 (#219) | AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 74.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.487 (#174) | AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 70.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.420 (#204) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.435 (#198) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 959 (#196) | RD 126 | GP 31 |
2002 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001-11-16 | @ | Mercer | W | 76 - 68 |
| 2001-11-21 | @ | Virginia | L | 66 - 115 |
| 2001-11-24 | @ | St. Francis Brooklyn | L | 72 - 85 |
| 2001-11-26 | vs | Cal State Northridge | W | 99 - 65 |
| 2001-11-29 | @ | Miami (FL) | L | 71 - 87 |
| 2001-12-01 | @ | North Carolina A&T | W | 71 - 64 |
| 2001-12-03 | @ | South Carolina State | L | 58 - 63 |
| 2001-12-10 | vs | American | W | 80 - 71 |
| 2001-12-15 | vs | Saint Francis (PA) | W | 88 - 67 |
| 2001-12-17 | @ | Georgetown | L | 80 - 99 |
| 2001-12-20 | N | Towson | W | 77 - 57 |
| 2001-12-30 | @ | Lafayette | L | 84 - 93 |
| 2002-01-05 | vs | Morgan State | W | 93 - 76 |
| 2002-01-07 | vs | Coppin State | W | 84 - 67 |
| 2002-01-12 | vs | Florida A&M | W | 82 - 76 |
| 2002-01-14 | vs | Bethune-Cookman | W | 73 - 66 |
| 2002-01-19 | @ | Norfolk State | L | 84 - 87 |
| 2002-01-21 | @ | Hampton | L | 58 - 79 |
| 2002-01-28 | @ | Maryland–Eastern Shore | W | 75 - 65 |
| 2002-02-02 | vs | North Carolina A&T | L | 75 - 77 |
| 2002-02-04 | vs | South Carolina State | W | 81 - 72 |
| 2002-02-09 | @ | Morgan State | L | 64 - 66 |
| 2002-02-11 | @ | Coppin State | W | 88 - 72 |
| 2002-02-16 | @ | Florida A&M | W | 58 - 55 |
| 2002-02-18 | @ | Bethune-Cookman | L | 69 - 72 |
| 2002-02-23 | vs | Norfolk State | W | 73 - 63 |
| 2002-02-25 | vs | Hampton | W | 82 - 81 |
| 2002-03-02 | vs | Delaware State | L | 64 - 71 |
| 2002-03-07 | N | Bethune-Cookman | W | 71 - 52 |
| 2002-03-08 | N | Delaware State | W | 65 - 56 |
| 2002-03-09 | N | Hampton | L | 62 - 80 |
2002 Roster
No roster data available for this season.