Howard
Model Outputs
1991-1992
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 989 (#158) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 986 (#157) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1074 (#64) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -9.9 (#253) | HCA +4.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -9.3 (#248) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.429 (#192) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.162 (#252) | AdjNet -14.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.170 (#249) | AdjNet -13.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.311 (#247) | AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 72.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.428 (#209) | AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 69.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.365 (#202) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.389 (#198) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 984 (#157) | RD 122 | GP 30 |
1992 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1991-11-23 | @ | Louisville | L | 73 - 102 |
| 1991-11-26 | @ | Florida | L | 60 - 74 |
| 1991-11-30 | @ | Minnesota | L | 54 - 95 |
| 1991-12-04 | vs | Northeastern | L | 67 - 71 |
| 1991-12-06 | @ | Miami (FL) | W | 64 - 55 |
| 1991-12-14 | @ | Ohio State | L | 53 - 114 |
| 1991-12-16 | @ | Toledo | L | 62 - 80 |
| 1991-12-21 | @ | Wisconsin | L | 57 - 64 |
| 1991-12-30 | vs | Towson | W | 74 - 69 |
| 1992-01-02 | @ | Eastern Kentucky | L | 62 - 77 |
| 1992-01-04 | vs | North Carolina A&T | W | 68 - 59 |
| 1992-01-06 | vs | South Carolina State | W | 64 - 61 |
| 1992-01-11 | @ | Delaware State | L | 95 - 96 |
| 1992-01-16 | @ | Bethune-Cookman | W | 91 - 70 |
| 1992-01-20 | @ | Florida A&M | L | 67 - 78 |
| 1992-01-23 | vs | Maryland–Eastern Shore | W | 87 - 54 |
| 1992-01-25 | @ | Coppin State | W | 66 - 64 |
| 1992-01-27 | @ | Morgan State | W | 78 - 63 |
| 1992-02-01 | vs | Coppin State | W | 69 - 64 |
| 1992-02-06 | vs | Bethune-Cookman | W | 101 - 65 |
| 1992-02-10 | vs | Florida A&M | W | 72 - 68 |
| 1992-02-12 | @ | Maryland–Eastern Shore | W | 63 - 62 |
| 1992-02-15 | @ | North Carolina A&T | L | 65 - 66 |
| 1992-02-17 | @ | South Carolina State | L | 59 - 61 |
| 1992-02-22 | vs | Morgan State | W | 82 - 64 |
| 1992-02-27 | vs | Delaware State | W | 79 - 65 |
| 1992-03-05 | N | Bethune-Cookman | W | 58 - 54 |
| 1992-03-06 | N | South Carolina State | W | 76 - 73 |
| 1992-03-07 | N | Florida A&M | W | 67 - 65 |
| 1992-03-20 | N | Kansas | L | 67 - 100 |
1992 Roster
No roster data available for this season.