Howard
Model Outputs
1990-1991
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 818 (#232) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 777 (#258) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 952 (#199) | HCA +109 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -9.2 (#239) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -8.3 (#240) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.411 (#187) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.178 (#245) | AdjNet -13.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.175 (#244) | AdjNet -13.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.325 (#235) | AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 82.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.429 (#200) | AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 79.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.293 (#235) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.312 (#231) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 804 (#250) | RD 157 | GP 28 |
1991 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1990-11-23 | @ | Wake Forest | L | 74 - 108 |
| 1990-11-24 | @ | Campbell | L | 81 - 82 |
| 1990-11-27 | @ | UMBC | L | 73 - 75 |
| 1990-12-03 | @ | Northeastern | L | 95 - 100 |
| 1990-12-08 | @ | Winthrop | W | 77 - 64 |
| 1990-12-12 | vs | Campbell | L | 73 - 74 |
| 1990-12-15 | @ | St. John's (NY) | L | 65 - 78 |
| 1990-12-18 | vs | Towson | L | 62 - 77 |
| 1990-12-28 | @ | Gonzaga | L | 68 - 79 |
| 1990-12-29 | N | Hofstra | L | 64 - 71 |
| 1991-01-02 | @ | Georgia Tech | L | 77 - 84 |
| 1991-01-05 | @ | North Carolina A&T | L | 84 - 87 |
| 1991-01-07 | @ | South Carolina State | L | 85 - 94 |
| 1991-01-12 | vs | Delaware State | L | 73 - 77 |
| 1991-01-16 | vs | Bethune-Cookman | L | 77 - 79 |
| 1991-01-21 | vs | Florida A&M | L | 84 - 88 |
| 1991-01-24 | @ | Maryland–Eastern Shore | W | 97 - 80 |
| 1991-01-26 | vs | Coppin State | L | 63 - 78 |
| 1991-01-28 | vs | Morgan State | L | 61 - 65 |
| 1991-01-31 | @ | Delaware State | W | 86 - 80 |
| 1991-02-02 | @ | Coppin State | L | 76 - 99 |
| 1991-02-06 | vs | Bethune-Cookman | W | 94 - 81 |
| 1991-02-11 | @ | Florida A&M | W | 88 - 87 |
| 1991-02-13 | vs | Maryland–Eastern Shore | W | 114 - 80 |
| 1991-02-16 | vs | North Carolina A&T | L | 86 - 93 |
| 1991-02-18 | vs | South Carolina State | W | 91 - 87 |
| 1991-02-23 | @ | Morgan State | W | 77 - 67 |
| 1991-02-28 | N | Delaware State | L | 93 - 95 |
1991 Roster
No roster data available for this season.