Howard Payne
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1036 (#151) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +9.2 (#168) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.275 (#451) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.259 (#515) | AdjNet -9.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.262 (#514) | AdjNet -8.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.329 (#530) | AdjO 84.8 | AdjD 92.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.627 (#121) | AdjO 78.6 | AdjD 72.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.727 (#117) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.712 (#121) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1256 (#25) | RD 234 | GP 3 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-30 | vs | Texas-Dallas | L | 74 - 93 |
| 2024-01-13 | @ | Sul Ross St. | W | 84 - 83 |
| 2024-01-20 | @ | Texas-Dallas | L | 98 - 99 |
| 2024-02-17 | vs | Sul Ross St. | W | 87 - 85 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Souter | - | 2 | 30.5 | 24.0 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 17.5 | 13.5 | -1 | -1.0 | -3.9 | 54.3 | 40.9 | 50.0 | -0.62 | 66.9 | 67.1 |
| Nick Donnelly | - | 2 | 32.0 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 13.5 | 10.0 | -12 | -2.0 | -45.1 | 44.4 | 38.9 | 50.0 | -0.61 | 57.4 | 57.4 |
| Jordan Balderaz | - | 2 | 22.0 | 11.5 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 10.5 | 7 | 0.5 | 75.7 | 52.9 | 0.0 | 83.3 | -1.12 | 58.6 | 52.9 |
| Matthew Soto | - | 2 | 18.0 | 8.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 52 | 3.7 | 299.3 | 35.7 | 36.4 | 100.0 | -0.82 | 53.8 | 50.0 |
| Austin Page | - | 2 | 10.0 | 7.5 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 34 | 5.7 | 117.2 | 66.7 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.56 | 64.4 | 66.7 |
| Luke Kiser | - | 2 | 25.5 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 9.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 6.0 | 16.0 | 10 | 2.0 | 38.8 | 41.7 | 0.0 | 60.0 | -0.62 | 45.8 | 41.7 |
| Rob Wade | - | 2 | 14.5 | 6.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 5.0 | 4.5 | -14 | -2.8 | -41.3 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 57.1 | -0.5 | 49.7 | 45.0 |
| Franklin Onyeme | - | 2 | 8.5 | 6.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 83.3 | 0 | 66.7 | - | 82.0 | 83.3 |
| Thibaut Tagnon | - | 2 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 0.5 | -9 | -9.0 | -26.5 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.5 | 35.9 | 25.0 |
| Ethan Van Horn | - | 2 | 8.0 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 4.5 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 51.2 | 50.0 |
| Tyler Stephenson | - | 2 | 13.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 4.5 | -2 | -1.0 | -14.1 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | -0.92 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| AJ Carter | - | 2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 18 | 2.6 | 9.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.82 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jaelyn Rivera | - | 2 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Everett Bates | - | 2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Clayton Shaw | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Nnamdi Edeoga | - | 2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Markovic | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Nurenberg | - | 2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Cody Opoku-Darko | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Marcello Pelton | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Elijah Portalis | - | 2 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Brock Davis | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -22 | -4.4 | -5.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.39 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG