🐻⬇️🏀

Howard Payne

Also known as: Howard Payne Yellow Jackets
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 989 (#456) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -31.9 (#935) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → -36.0 (#639) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 73.4 More → 0.326 (#624) AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 73.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.074 (#641) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.105 (#641) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 2 More → 871 (#535) RD 350 | GP 2

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-12-19 @ Abilene Christian Wildcats L 41 - 112
2021-12-22 @ UT Arlington Mavericks L 46 - 95

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Godfrey J. Godfrey - 2 18.0 12.0 3.0 0.5 1.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 16.0 120 3.6 4.4 0 0 0 0.36 0 0
L. McLaughlin L. McLaughlin - 1 22.0 11.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 21.0 85 5.7 27.7 0 0 0 0.9 0 0
M. Morris M. Morris G 1 18.0 9.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 13.0 173 4.8 8.1 0 0 0 0.19 0 0
R. Miller R. Miller G 1 18.0 8.0 5.0 1.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 19.0 -101 -3.5 -4.5 0 0 0 1.71 0 0
T. Poag T. Poag - 1 11.0 7.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
M. Koehler M. Koehler - 2 19.0 6.0 1.0 1.5 1.0 0.0 2.5 0.0 7.0 - - - 0 0 0 -1.02 0 0
S. Smith S. Smith G 1 17.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 7.0 131 4.2 9.7 0 0 0 1.38 0 0
F. Cadeaux de Dieu F. Cadeaux de Dieu F 1 13.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.25 0 0
H. Myart H. Myart - 2 13.5 4.0 3.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 0.0 6.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
M. Brown M. Brown - 2 19.0 4.0 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 5.5 160 4.8 7.0 0 0 0 0.55 0 0
F. Watts F. Watts - 2 24.0 4.0 5.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 2.0 0.0 7.5 - - - 0 0 0 -0.71 0 0
J. Ballou J. Ballou G 2 30.0 2.0 3.0 3.5 2.5 0.5 7.0 0.0 4.5 - - - 0 0 0 -0.95 0 0
T. Thompson T. Thompson - 1 16.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 -29 -1.6 -7.0 0 0 0 0.08 0 0
J. Helzer J. Helzer - 2 11.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Longino D. Longino - 2 12.0 1.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 2.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
R. Ridder R. Ridder - 2 13.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
M. Hammonds M. Hammonds - 2 13.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
A. Romanelli A. Romanelli - 1 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
M. Gillum M. Gillum - 2 10.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
S. Payne S. Payne - 1 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG