Houghton
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1105 (#69) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1103 (#133) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1038 (#222) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.1 (#162) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +3.7 (#305) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.954 (#197) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.981 (#102) | NetEff +29.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.590 (#350) | AdjNet +3.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.591 (#346) | AdjNet +3.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.521 (#361) | AdjO 62.3 | AdjD 61.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.708 (#117) | AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 60.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.637 (#267) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.654 (#257) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1070 (#227) | RD 108 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Pitt.-Bradford | W | 114 - 40 |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Bry. & Strat. (Buf.) | W | 80 - 51 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Marywood | W | 69 - 66 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Hilbert | W | 85 - 32 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Westminster (PA) | W | 71 - 63 |
| 2025-12-09 | @ | Fredonia | W | 80 - 74 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Buffalo St. | W | 78 - 51 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | SUNY Poly | W | 90 - 51 |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | St. John Fisher | L | 62 - 63 |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | Russell Sage | L | 58 - 73 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Hartwick | W | 85 - 41 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | SUNY Brockport | L | 59 - 70 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | SUNY Geneseo | W | 77 - 53 |
| 2026-01-27 | vs | Alfred | W | 85 - 51 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | Keuka | W | 65 - 47 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Elmira | W | 72 - 47 |
| 2026-02-06 | @ | SUNY Poly | W | 87 - 45 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Utica | L | 75 - 86 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tabitha DeVries | - | 18 | 22.8 | 13.6 | 7.1 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 11.8 | 10.7 | 113 | 6.6 | 39.4 | 49.3 | 21.4 | 73.8 | 2.28 | 52.7 | 50.0 |
| Crysta Lacrosse | - | 18 | 25.3 | 12.7 | 5.0 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 10.8 | 10.9 | 158 | 9.3 | 57.3 | 44.1 | 39.7 | 74.4 | 4.35 | 53.7 | 51.0 |
| Keely Mullins | - | 7 | 22.3 | 11.9 | 6.0 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 11.7 | 10.7 | - | - | - | 43.9 | 16.7 | 70.0 | - | 48.0 | 46.3 |
| Olivia Simser | - | 18 | 26.3 | 10.4 | 4.0 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 9.4 | 9.6 | 191 | 11.2 | 49.9 | 42.4 | 39.1 | 80.0 | 3.83 | 53.9 | 52.9 |
| Teghan Trocki | - | 18 | 15.8 | 6.9 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 6.6 | 4.2 | 101 | 5.9 | 42.1 | 37.3 | 35.6 | 0 | -0.69 | 53.0 | 53.0 |
| Hannah Farley | - | 18 | 16.3 | 6.4 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 6.3 | 5.4 | 111 | 6.5 | 55.5 | 42.5 | 32.3 | 69.2 | 2.21 | 48.4 | 46.9 |
| Karina Crouse | - | 18 | 22.6 | 5.7 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 6.3 | 5.2 | 111 | 6.5 | 40.7 | 35.4 | 27.8 | 63.6 | 1.43 | 43.3 | 42.0 |
| Tricia Carmer | - | 18 | 15.1 | 5.1 | 4.9 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 4.3 | 8.3 | 166 | 9.8 | 75.2 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 67.6 | 2.87 | 48.8 | 42.9 |
| Samantha Roadruck | - | 17 | 14.8 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 52 | 3.5 | 24.6 | 41.4 | 34.2 | 85.7 | -1.05 | 52.7 | 50.7 |
| Anna Dening | - | 18 | 12.4 | 3.9 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 104 | 6.1 | 66.8 | 28.7 | 26.8 | 60.0 | 0.67 | 40.4 | 38.1 |
| Emma Huedepohl | - | 18 | 17.5 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 123 | 7.2 | 46.1 | 33.3 | 22.5 | 0 | 0.05 | 39.9 | 39.9 |
| Amanda Jackson | - | 7 | 5.1 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.6 | -0.4 | 7 | 1.0 | 35.1 | 9.1 | 14.3 | 100.0 | -0.91 | 27.4 | 13.6 |
| Riley Pascoe | - | 9 | 7.4 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 17 | 2.1 | 53.5 | 21.4 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 0.13 | 23.5 | 25.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG