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Hope

Season: 2022 2012
Also known as: Hope
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 968 (#454) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 931 (#595) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 998 (#264) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -1.0 (#509) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → -5.1 (#415) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 69.2 More → 0.485 (#284) AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 69.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.346 (#433) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.373 (#419) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 928 (#369) RD 350 | GP 1

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-10 @ Western Michigan Broncos L 58 - 76

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Bikus J. Bikus F 1 24.0 13.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 16.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Lilja J. Lilja G 1 17.0 9.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 11.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
E. Thomas E. Thomas F 1 26.0 8.0 6.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 18.0 65 1.9 4.1 0 0 0 0.99 0 0
C. Dykhouse C. Dykhouse G 1 21.0 7.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 12.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
T. George T. George G 1 32.0 7.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 12.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.24 0 0
N. Hedrick N. Hedrick F 1 24.0 7.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 14.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
T. Wiegerink T. Wiegerink F 1 19.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 10.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
S. Ver Steeg S. Ver Steeg G 1 11.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
B. Wagar B. Wagar F 1 10.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
B. Swinehart B. Swinehart G 1 10.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
G. Quillan G. Quillan C 1 6.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG