Holy Family
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 902 (#379) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 911 (#426) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1010 (#232) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.3 (#251) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -2.7 (#368) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.327 (#427) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.955 (#158) | NetEff +28.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.255 (#519) | AdjNet -9.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.254 (#522) | AdjNet -9.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.345 (#518) | AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 75.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.458 (#382) | AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 71.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.434 (#371) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.440 (#363) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 994 (#237) | RD 93 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Mercy | W | 96 - 85 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | American Int'l | W | 86 - 75 |
| 2025-11-20 | vs | Lock Haven | W | 74 - 73 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Dominican (NY) | L | 74 - 79 |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Molloy | W | 98 - 90 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Georgian Court | L | 70 - 85 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Post | L | 57 - 71 |
| 2025-12-09 | @ | Chestnut Hill | L | 52 - 68 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Saint Michael's | L | 54 - 72 |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Roberts Wesleyan | W | 84 - 65 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Staten Island | L | 95 - 104 |
| 2025-12-21 | @ | Delaware St. | L | 61 - 73 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Cheyney | W | 91 - 72 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Caldwell | L | 65 - 69 |
| 2026-01-06 | @ | Jefferson | L | 64 - 73 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Felician | L | 57 - 70 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Wilmington (DE) | W | 67 - 60 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Bridgeport | W | 76 - 74 |
| 2026-01-20 | @ | Goldey-Beacom | L | 87 - 98 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Dominican (NY) | W | 83 - 78 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Georgian Court | L | 62 - 68 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Post | W | 65 - 55 |
| 2026-02-03 | vs | Chestnut Hill | W | 83 - 67 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amari Dow | - | 1 | 35.0 | 22.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 12.0 | -113 | -7.1 | -26.5 | 71.4 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.71 | 78.6 | 78.6 |
| Tre Powell | - | 1 | 30.0 | 18.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 19.0 | 103 | 6.1 | 30.8 | 38.5 | 25.0 | 70.0 | 0.89 | 51.7 | 42.3 |
| Alejandro Cybak | - | 1 | 38.0 | 17.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 26.0 | -172 | -10.1 | -35.3 | 70.0 | 66.7 | 33.3 | -2.38 | 75.1 | 80.0 |
| Reginald Dillard | - | 1 | 23.0 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 7.0 | -17 | -1.4 | -82.1 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.61 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Julian Williams | - | 1 | 30.0 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 12.0 | 70 | 4.4 | 50.9 | 54.5 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.18 | 63.1 | 59.1 |
| Key'Sean Maynard | - | 1 | 31.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | -26 | -1.9 | -23.7 | 50.0 | 80.0 | 0 | 0.22 | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Elijah Hernandez | - | 20 | 30.2 | 13.1 | 3.4 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 11.1 | 7.5 | 7 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 41.0 | 36.0 | 76.9 | 3.36 | 55.9 | 54.3 |
| Justin Allen | - | 1 | 22.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 41 | 3.2 | 60.2 | 62.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 2.15 | 73.2 | 75.0 |
| Najee Coursey | - | 19 | 28.4 | 12.6 | 6.2 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 8.1 | 12.2 | -8 | -0.4 | -2.3 | 59.1 | 41.0 | 71.2 | -0.61 | 66.7 | 64.3 |
| Matthew Gardler | - | 20 | 29.9 | 11.1 | 3.0 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 8.1 | 9.8 | 3 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 46.0 | 41.6 | 83.8 | -3.69 | 62.3 | 59.0 |
| Di'Andre Howell-South | - | 20 | 23.3 | 9.8 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 8.2 | 8.0 | -38 | -2.0 | -10.8 | 44.8 | 23.5 | 60.3 | -0.62 | 50.5 | 47.2 |
| Omarion Jett | - | 18 | 25.8 | 9.2 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 8.6 | 6.1 | -12 | -0.6 | -3.6 | 38.7 | 34.8 | 68.8 | 0.08 | 48.8 | 46.1 |
| Raphaël Dupouy | - | 18 | 20.5 | 8.7 | 6.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 7.6 | 9.0 | -39 | -2.2 | -56.3 | 45.3 | 17.2 | 62.8 | -1.94 | 50.0 | 47.1 |
| Isaiah Benbow | - | 1 | 22.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | - | 59.5 | 50.0 |
| Kobe Jerome | - | 5 | 16.1 | 6.8 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 4.2 | 6.0 | 19 | 3.2 | 40.2 | 47.6 | 47.6 | 100.0 | -2.4 | 74.7 | 71.4 |
| Anthony Akande | - | 1 | 27.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 17.0 | 111 | 7.4 | 108.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 1.29 | 51.2 | 50.0 |
| Landon Shivers | - | 1 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | -8 | -0.5 | -3.2 | 50.0 | 0 | 75.0 | -1.85 | 66.5 | 50.0 |
| Koi D. Kirk Jr. | - | 1 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | -12 | -1.1 | -10.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.08 | 37.6 | 50.0 |
| Malcolm Day | - | 1 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 13 | 0.9 | 9.3 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.98 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Tyler Spencer | - | 1 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | -60 | -3.8 | -20.3 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -0.64 | 41.0 | 37.5 |
| CJ Mundell | - | 14 | 8.2 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 3.1 | 2.6 | -4 | -0.3 | -10.3 | 41.9 | 20.8 | 40.0 | -0.82 | 47.5 | 47.7 |
| Jalen Robinson | - | 1 | 22.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 95 | 7.3 | 310.6 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.21 | 61.5 | 50.0 |
| Karrington Wallace | - | 20 | 9.1 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 3.5 | -22 | -1.1 | -15.0 | 64.1 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -0.18 | 65.7 | 66.7 |
| RJ Delahaye | - | 14 | 8.6 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 9 | 0.6 | 10.7 | 26.8 | 20.8 | 69.2 | -0.42 | 38.5 | 32.9 |
| Brandon Hooks | - | 9 | 12.2 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 2.2 | - | - | - | 26.1 | 12.5 | 83.3 | - | 40.7 | 28.3 |
| Absalon Cortes | - | 20 | 12.8 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 3.0 | -31 | -3.4 | -25.7 | 36.1 | 35.0 | 81.8 | -3.64 | 51.4 | 45.8 |
| Vinicius Paixao | - | 1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jason Shields | - | 5 | 7.1 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 26 | 4.3 | 73.8 | 14.3 | 14.3 | 100.0 | -0.92 | 31.7 | 21.4 |
| Amir Nelson | - | 5 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.6 | -0.4 | - | - | - | 12.5 | 25.0 | 50.0 | - | 22.5 | 18.8 |
| Sam Fagan | - | 5 | 5.3 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.4 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 41.0 | 37.5 |
| Jayson Love | - | 2 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Travon Mack | - | 1 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Tayshaun Jackson | - | 2 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -4 | -1.3 | -117.1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.01 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Cam Burns | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -11 | -1.4 | -6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.52 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG