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Holy Cross

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2016 2015 2014 2013
Also known as: Holy Cross
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1060 (#160) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1091 (#154) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1008 (#388) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +3.8 (#293) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.996 (#145) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +25.2 More → 0.949 (#137) AdjNet +25.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +24.7 More → 0.949 (#137) AdjNet +24.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.4 | AdjD 59.5 More → 0.795 (#180) AdjO 74.4 | AdjD 59.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 69.1 More → 0.561 (#277) AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 69.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.695 (#212) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.672 (#230) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 310 | GP 2 More → 1149 (#100) RD 310 | GP 2

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-26 vs Worcester St. W 77 - 53
2025-12-09 vs Regis (MA) W 69 - 47

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Gabe Warren - 2 28.3 13.5 4.0 1.5 2.0 1.0 1.0 9.0 12.0 - - - 55.6 22.2 62.5 - 62.7 61.1
Declan Ryan - 1 15.6 10.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 7.0 - - - 57.1 0 50.0 - 57.1 57.1
Tyler Boston - 2 24.4 9.5 5.0 1.5 1.5 0.0 1.5 8.5 7.5 - - - 29.4 14.3 72.7 - 43.5 32.4
Will Aljancic - 2 15.8 9.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 8.5 2.0 - - - 41.2 50.0 40.0 - 46.9 47.1
Aidan Richard - 2 26.2 9.0 5.5 0.5 1.5 1.0 1.5 7.5 8.5 - - - 53.3 28.6 0.0 - 51.0 60.0
DeAndre Williams - 2 28.5 7.5 4.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.5 6.0 10.0 31 3.4 92.7 50.0 20.0 100.0 0.99 58.2 54.2
Jude Haigh - 2 15.2 7.0 2.5 1.5 1.0 0.0 1.5 6.0 4.5 - - - 33.3 33.3 100.0 - 52.6 45.8
Aiden Disu - 1 20.7 6.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 3.0 - - - 25.0 25.0 50.0 - 33.8 31.2
Chuck Hare - 2 10.8 4.0 3.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 4.0 5.0 - - - 37.5 0 100.0 - 45.0 37.5
John St. Germain III - 1 19.1 4.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 3.0 22 1.2 8.0 20.0 0.0 66.7 1.14 31.6 20.0
Jaden Kirkwood - 2 15.2 2.5 5.5 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 3.0 7.5 - - - 33.3 50.0 0 - 41.7 41.7
Tim Finau - 2 2.6 1.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 0 0.0 - 41.0 50.0
Ben Capron - 2 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ethan Clark - 2 1.7 0.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Austin Mejia - 2 2.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG