Worcester St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 948 (#470) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 913 (#477) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 993 (#507) | HCA +56 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 962 (#582) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -7.8 (#228) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -12.3 (#568) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -25.2 (#729) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.369 (#553) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.222 (#519) | AdjNet -10.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.214 (#521) | AdjNet -11.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.323 (#510) | AdjO 73.1 | AdjD 81.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.377 (#602) | AdjO 74.8 | AdjD 80.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.234 (#724) | AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 80.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.328 (#560) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.175 (#692) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.334 (#561) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.188 (#691) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 975 (#412) | RD 99 | GP 23 |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 890 (#492) | RD 255 | GP 1 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Saint Joseph (CT) | L | 80 - 91 |
| 2025-11-09 | vs | Brooklyn | W | 87 - 52 |
| 2025-11-11 | @ | Rhode Island Col. | L | 74 - 79 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | WPI | L | 73 - 81 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Western New Eng. | L | 57 - 72 |
| 2025-11-26 | @ | Holy Cross | L | 53 - 77 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Wesleyan (CT) | L | 75 - 83 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | SUNY Poly | L | 59 - 78 |
| 2025-12-08 | vs | Connecticut Col. | L | 85 - 95 |
| 2025-12-09 | vs | Gordon | W | 85 - 65 |
| 2025-12-28 | @ | Bryant | L | 59 - 95 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Williams | L | 73 - 86 |
| 2026-01-06 | vs | Trinity (CT) | L | 49 - 100 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | MCLA | W | 89 - 79 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Westfield St. | L | 64 - 85 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Fitchburg St. | W | 91 - 69 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Framingham St. | W | 73 - 65 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Salem St. | W | 90 - 75 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Anna Maria | W | 87 - 81 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Bridgewater St. | W | 101 - 93 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | MCLA | L | 99 - 102 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Westfield St. | L | 72 - 84 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Fitchburg St. | W | 73 - 68 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Okla | - | 23 | 31.8 | 14.7 | 8.2 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 9.8 | 14.4 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 57.1 | 22.2 | 68.2 | 0.4 | 61.8 | 58.4 |
| Johnny Annan | - | 22 | 26.9 | 11.0 | 5.9 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 8.5 | 12.7 | -12 | -0.7 | -3.8 | 48.4 | 0.0 | 58.5 | 1.31 | 52.0 | 48.4 |
| Daniel Wondie | - | 21 | 16.9 | 7.8 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 6.8 | 2.7 | -40 | -2.2 | -10.2 | 39.4 | 39.3 | 61.5 | -0.29 | 55.5 | 54.9 |
| Jaydon Buckle | - | 19 | 16.8 | 7.5 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 5.8 | 4.5 | 33 | 2.2 | 9.2 | 38.2 | 28.6 | 71.8 | 2.34 | 50.6 | 41.8 |
| Ryan Sablon | - | 21 | 24.0 | 7.2 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 7.6 | 4.6 | -10 | -0.7 | -3.5 | 36.5 | 23.1 | 75.0 | 0.4 | 43.5 | 39.3 |
| Ayme Daguilh | - | 22 | 19.3 | 6.8 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 6.0 | 4.1 | -73 | -4.3 | -39.2 | 41.2 | 35.4 | 82.6 | -1.49 | 53.1 | 50.0 |
| Ethan Daleba | - | 22 | 15.0 | 6.6 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 6.6 | 3.8 | -92 | -5.4 | -42.0 | 43.4 | 21.1 | 50.0 | -2.68 | 46.9 | 46.2 |
| Dajon Burton | - | 21 | 19.9 | 5.4 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 5.9 | 1.3 | -77 | -4.3 | -28.5 | 35.0 | 25.6 | 64.3 | -1.37 | 42.1 | 39.0 |
| Samuel Batista | - | 16 | 13.3 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 4.2 | 2.8 | -8 | -1.6 | -83.1 | 38.2 | 31.0 | 61.1 | -1.67 | 47.4 | 44.9 |
| Camdyn Shoesmith | - | 22 | 13.2 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 3.2 | 4.9 | -78 | -4.6 | -39.7 | 54.3 | 0 | 84.6 | -1.28 | 57.4 | 54.3 |
| Da'Shaun Phillips | - | 11 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 0.4 | -13 | -1.9 | -45.3 | 20.0 | 28.6 | 50.0 | -0.12 | 34.5 | 26.7 |
| Zeke Noelsaint | - | 14 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 | -15 | -1.4 | -47.9 | 46.7 | 20.0 | 60.0 | 0.82 | 52.3 | 50.0 |
| Jack Lasbury-Casey | - | 9 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36.4 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 0.01 | 46.3 | 45.5 |
| Cavin Pollard | - | 4 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | -4 | -2.0 | -106.7 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.45 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Kaelin Dossantos Leal | - | 9 | 3.9 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 0.4 | -8 | -1.6 | -213.3 | 30.0 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.45 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Shawn Hebert | - | 18 | 6.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 0.8 | -6 | -0.4 | -6.9 | 30.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.24 | 42.5 | 42.5 |
| Tyrone Victor | - | 12 | 4.9 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.9 | -28 | -2.8 | -62.0 | 44.4 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.02 | 47.3 | 44.4 |
| Amari Howell | - | 4 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 6 | 2.0 | 56.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.84 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG