Holy Cross
Model Outputs
1999-2000
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 726 (#275) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 808 (#276) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 911 (#261) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -10.2 (#272) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -11.4 (#279) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.347 (#224) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.164 (#264) | AdjNet -14.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.160 (#264) | AdjNet -14.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.310 (#267) | AdjO 56.7 | AdjD 65.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.370 (#259) | AdjO 57.8 | AdjD 63.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.248 (#269) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.258 (#268) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 814 (#265) | RD 150 | GP 28 |
2000 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999-11-20 | @ | Providence | W | 54 - 43 |
| 1999-11-23 | vs | Harvard | L | 69 - 80 |
| 1999-11-27 | vs | Fordham | L | 73 - 87 |
| 1999-11-30 | @ | Dartmouth | L | 66 - 82 |
| 1999-12-07 | N | Boston College | L | 43 - 50 |
| 1999-12-09 | @ | Yale | W | 72 - 65 |
| 1999-12-19 | vs | Vermont | L | 69 - 78 |
| 1999-12-22 | vs | Northeastern | W | 82 - 71 |
| 1999-12-27 | N | UAB | W | 69 - 60 |
| 1999-12-28 | N | Indiana | L | 44 - 79 |
| 1999-12-31 | @ | Princeton | L | 41 - 51 |
| 2000-01-03 | vs | Brown | L | 53 - 55 |
| 2000-01-06 | vs | Sacred Heart | W | 63 - 48 |
| 2000-01-12 | @ | Colgate | W | 68 - 51 |
| 2000-01-15 | @ | Bucknell | L | 44 - 69 |
| 2000-01-19 | vs | Lafayette | L | 70 - 77 |
| 2000-01-23 | vs | Navy | L | 49 - 81 |
| 2000-01-26 | @ | Hartford | W | 78 - 65 |
| 2000-01-30 | vs | Army | W | 52 - 42 |
| 2000-02-02 | @ | Lehigh | L | 57 - 64 |
| 2000-02-05 | vs | Colgate | L | 54 - 57 |
| 2000-02-09 | vs | Bucknell | L | 48 - 54 |
| 2000-02-12 | @ | Lafayette | L | 66 - 77 |
| 2000-02-15 | @ | New Hampshire | W | 73 - 53 |
| 2000-02-19 | @ | Navy | L | 51 - 58 |
| 2000-02-22 | @ | Army | L | 48 - 60 |
| 2000-02-26 | vs | Lehigh | W | 72 - 57 |
| 2000-03-04 | N | Colgate | L | 49 - 58 |
2000 Roster
No roster data available for this season.