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Holy Cross

Also known as: Holy Cross Crusaders, Holy Cross
Program History

Model Outputs

1999-2000
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 726 (#275) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 808 (#276) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +114 elo More โ†’ 911 (#261) HCA +114 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ -10.2 (#272) HCA +3.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ -11.4 (#279) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.347 (#224) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -14.1 More โ†’ 0.164 (#264) AdjNet -14.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -14.3 More โ†’ 0.160 (#264) AdjNet -14.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 56.7 | AdjD 65.5 More โ†’ 0.310 (#267) AdjO 56.7 | AdjD 65.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 57.8 | AdjD 63.6 More โ†’ 0.370 (#259) AdjO 57.8 | AdjD 63.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.248 (#269) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.258 (#268) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 150 | GP 28 More โ†’ 814 (#265) RD 150 | GP 28

2000 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1999-11-20 @ Providence W 54 - 43
1999-11-23 vs Harvard L 69 - 80
1999-11-27 vs Fordham L 73 - 87
1999-11-30 @ Dartmouth L 66 - 82
1999-12-07 N Boston College L 43 - 50
1999-12-09 @ Yale W 72 - 65
1999-12-19 vs Vermont L 69 - 78
1999-12-22 vs Northeastern W 82 - 71
1999-12-27 N UAB W 69 - 60
1999-12-28 N Indiana L 44 - 79
1999-12-31 @ Princeton L 41 - 51
2000-01-03 vs Brown L 53 - 55
2000-01-06 vs Sacred Heart W 63 - 48
2000-01-12 @ Colgate W 68 - 51
2000-01-15 @ Bucknell L 44 - 69
2000-01-19 vs Lafayette L 70 - 77
2000-01-23 vs Navy L 49 - 81
2000-01-26 @ Hartford W 78 - 65
2000-01-30 vs Army W 52 - 42
2000-02-02 @ Lehigh L 57 - 64
2000-02-05 vs Colgate L 54 - 57
2000-02-09 vs Bucknell L 48 - 54
2000-02-12 @ Lafayette L 66 - 77
2000-02-15 @ New Hampshire W 73 - 53
2000-02-19 @ Navy L 51 - 58
2000-02-22 @ Army L 48 - 60
2000-02-26 vs Lehigh W 72 - 57
2000-03-04 N Colgate L 49 - 58

2000 Roster

No roster data available for this season.