Hilbert
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 881 (#428) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 666 (#588) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 811 (#682) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -40.1 (#411) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -44.0 (#706) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.008 (#714) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.008 (#559) | NetEff -31.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.001 (#730) | AdjNet -63.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.000 (#729) | AdjNet -64.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.030 (#725) | AdjO 37.5 | AdjD 75.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.052 (#720) | AdjO 41.2 | AdjD 73.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.017 (#718) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.019 (#718) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 627 (#564) | RD 114 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Alfred | L | 31 - 63 |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Fredonia | L | 48 - 88 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Elmira | L | 51 - 70 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Houghton | L | 32 - 85 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Keuka | L | 57 - 65 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | St. John Fisher | L | 34 - 96 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Pitt.-Bradford | W | 67 - 61 |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | Buffalo St. | L | 40 - 66 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Carlow | L | 60 - 63 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Blackburn | L | 65 - 73 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Loras | L | 23 - 79 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | La Roche | L | 56 - 82 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Penn St.-Behrend | L | 43 - 74 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Pitt.-Greensburg | W | 49 - 45 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Alfred St. | L | 60 - 74 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | La Roche | L | 38 - 78 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Penn St.-Altoona | L | 39 - 85 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Penn St.-Behrend | L | 34 - 90 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Pitt.-Greensburg | W | 54 - 49 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Learsi Sabala | - | 18 | 23.7 | 8.3 | 6.6 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 5.2 | 8.1 | 5.3 | -235 | -12.4 | -67.8 | 39.0 | 10.0 | 63.0 | -2.78 | 43.9 | 39.4 |
| Mia Aldaya | - | 19 | 29.1 | 7.0 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 9.4 | -0.3 | -199 | -9.9 | -49.3 | 25.8 | 25.5 | 66.7 | -3.0 | 36.8 | 36.2 |
| Nyema Blair | - | 16 | 26.0 | 6.8 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 4.1 | 7.4 | 0.9 | -150 | -8.8 | -37.3 | 34.7 | 16.7 | 84.0 | -3.8 | 41.9 | 36.9 |
| Kayla Johnson | - | 19 | 31.3 | 6.8 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 3.5 | 7.8 | 1.4 | -134 | -6.7 | -29.6 | 26.2 | 33.3 | 62.7 | -2.8 | 36.9 | 30.9 |
| LaDasia Leak | - | 10 | 23.1 | 6.5 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 3.8 | 6.8 | 3.2 | -39 | -3.9 | -102.1 | 32.4 | 21.4 | 69.2 | -3.0 | 40.9 | 34.6 |
| Bianca Iten | - | 15 | 27.7 | 6.4 | 5.6 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 0.1 | 2.9 | 7.7 | 5.8 | -106 | -6.6 | -33.3 | 33.9 | 14.3 | 66.7 | -1.8 | 38.6 | 35.7 |
| Jessee Jonathan | - | 8 | 19.3 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 4.5 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 27.8 | 16.7 | 50.0 | - | 32.9 | 30.6 |
| Hailey Alba | - | 18 | 16.4 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 4.4 | 1.0 | -148 | -8.2 | -53.9 | 28.7 | 66.7 | 50.0 | -2.17 | 32.2 | 30.0 |
| Meghan Balen | - | 13 | 10.4 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 3.1 | 1.9 | -45 | -3.2 | -111.7 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 77.8 | -0.83 | 35.3 | 30.0 |
| Promesse Rwigamba | - | 19 | 9.9 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.7 | -125 | -6.2 | -91.2 | 50.0 | 40.0 | 57.1 | -2.46 | 56.0 | 53.8 |
| Caycee Scott | - | 14 | 6.7 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 1.1 | -53 | -3.5 | -42.2 | 41.4 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.95 | 43.5 | 41.4 |
| Ty'tearya Thomas | - | 12 | 7.1 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1.7 | -0.2 | -57 | -4.4 | -74.4 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.11 | 28.7 | 30.0 |
| Jayla Jackson | - | 17 | 8.8 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 | -100 | -5.6 | -70.9 | 20.0 | 0 | 25.0 | -2.12 | 22.2 | 20.0 |
| Amarie Berrios | - | 6 | 10.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 2.5 | -2.8 | -69 | -11.5 | -76.0 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -3.57 | 6.7 | 6.7 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG