High Point
Model Outputs
2002-2003
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 655 (#309) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 779 (#292) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 881 (#302) | HCA +112 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -13.0 (#303) | HCA +3.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -14.9 (#313) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.265 (#273) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.103 (#304) | AdjNet -18.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.101 (#304) | AdjNet -19.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.253 (#303) | AdjO 64.7 | AdjD 76.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.308 (#309) | AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 73.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.191 (#307) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.200 (#308) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 789 (#289) | RD 163 | GP 27 |
2003 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002-11-22 | N | Northern Arizona | W | 70 - 65 |
| 2002-11-23 | @ | Central Connecticut State | W | 74 - 63 |
| 2002-11-27 | N | Clemson | L | 65 - 91 |
| 2002-12-03 | @ | Kentucky | L | 64 - 84 |
| 2002-12-05 | @ | The Citadel | L | 67 - 82 |
| 2002-12-15 | @ | Vanderbilt | L | 75 - 81 |
| 2002-12-17 | @ | Campbell | L | 80 - 99 |
| 2002-12-21 | N | Washington State | L | 71 - 78 |
| 2002-12-28 | vs | Campbell | W | 79 - 76 |
| 2002-12-31 | vs | UNC Greensboro | W | 81 - 74 |
| 2003-01-04 | @ | Radford | W | 81 - 67 |
| 2003-01-09 | @ | Liberty | L | 70 - 74 |
| 2003-01-11 | vs | Coastal Carolina | L | 75 - 77 |
| 2003-01-13 | vs | Charleston Southern | L | 66 - 75 |
| 2003-01-18 | vs | Birmingham-Southern | L | 60 - 64 |
| 2003-01-25 | @ | Elon | L | 61 - 65 |
| 2003-01-27 | vs | UNC Asheville | L | 60 - 64 |
| 2003-01-31 | @ | Winthrop | L | 59 - 84 |
| 2003-02-02 | vs | Radford | W | 75 - 64 |
| 2003-02-05 | @ | UNC Asheville | L | 76 - 78 |
| 2003-02-08 | @ | Charleston Southern | L | 56 - 61 |
| 2003-02-10 | @ | Coastal Carolina | L | 71 - 89 |
| 2003-02-15 | vs | Winthrop | L | 70 - 86 |
| 2003-02-19 | @ | Birmingham-Southern | L | 62 - 63 |
| 2003-02-26 | vs | Liberty | W | 72 - 68 |
| 2003-03-01 | vs | Elon | L | 46 - 70 |
| 2003-03-04 | @ | Winthrop | L | 64 - 80 |
2003 Roster
No roster data available for this season.