🐻⬇️🏀

Hesston

Season: 2026
Also known as: Hesston
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 972 (#345) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 918 (#408) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 976 (#506) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -50.5 (#693) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.000 (#764) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -99.5 More → 0.000 (#537) NetEff -99.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -79.5 More → 0.000 (#763) AdjNet -79.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -80.2 More → 0.000 (#766) AdjNet -80.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 40.2 | AdjD 88.5 More → 0.012 (#758) AdjO 40.2 | AdjD 88.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 53.9 | AdjD 70.9 More → 0.176 (#675) AdjO 53.9 | AdjD 70.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.021 (#696) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.030 (#696) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 339 | GP 2 More → 896 (#378) RD 339 | GP 2

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-22 @ Northwestern Okla. L 17 - 108
2025-12-01 @ Wayne St. (NE) L 27 - 95

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Sarah Beltran - 2 21.0 5.5 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5 6.0 -3.0 - - - 33.3 30.0 0 - 45.8 45.8
Mia Curtis - 2 12.1 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 3.0 3.5 - - - 50.0 0 100.0 - 58.1 50.0
Presley Wilson - 1 15.2 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 - - - 25.0 50.0 0 - 37.5 37.5
Keira Pineda - 2 16.8 2.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.5 -3.5 - - - 18.2 16.7 0 - 22.7 22.7
Brooke Bettis - 2 23.1 2.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.5 10.5 -13.0 - - - 9.5 10.0 0 - 11.9 11.9
Hanah DeBelle - 1 6.6 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Jenna Avery - 2 21.0 1.0 2.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 4.0 5.5 -5.0 65 3.6 41.1 9.1 0.0 0 5.44 9.1 9.1
Akiva Brown - 2 19.7 1.0 4.5 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.5 7.5 -1.5 127 5.8 35.6 6.7 0 0 2.22 6.7 6.7
Mia Brown - 2 16.4 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 -3.5 203 7.8 24.3 12.5 0.0 0 3.23 12.5 12.5
Mariah Hall - 2 22.0 1.0 4.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 3.0 3.5 0.0 - - - 14.3 0 0 - 14.3 14.3
Anna McIntire - 2 18.4 1.0 4.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 2.5 3.5 - - - 20.0 0 0 - 20.0 20.0
Gresa Arapi - 2 5.2 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1.5 - - - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - 0.0 0.0
Felicity Walters - 1 7.6 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Tatum Suderman - 1 2.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Krysten Carter - 1 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 134 6.4 41.5 0 0 0 1.91 0 0
Emma Pfannensteil - 1 6.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG