🐻⬇️🏀

Hesston

Season: 2026
Also known as: Hesston
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 959 (#305) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 917 (#415) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 968 (#441) HCA +95 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -28.7 (#569) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.002 (#712) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -37.5 More → 0.013 (#733) AdjNet -37.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -36.0 More → 0.013 (#728) AdjNet -36.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 93.1 More → 0.062 (#737) AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 93.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 80.7 More → 0.260 (#558) AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 80.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.126 (#570) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.148 (#570) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 290 | GP 2 More → 847 (#419) RD 290 | GP 2

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-01 @ Wayne St. (NE) L 50 - 97
2025-12-14 @ Neb.-Kearney L 62 - 102

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tom Connelly - 1 22.0 20.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 17.0 -112 -5.3 -24.8 87.5 83.3 100.0 -1.97 118.5 118.8
Darshan Thomas - 1 17.9 18.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 12.0 12.0 -100 -4.3 -35.1 66.7 66.7 0 -4.33 75.0 75.0
Benjamin Kerkhoff - 1 29.4 17.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 12.0 -81 -3.5 -32.3 66.7 50.0 100.0 -0.61 86.0 83.3
Andrew Stokes - 1 23.5 17.0 8.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 18.0 -34 -1.5 -7.5 77.8 100.0 66.7 4.69 82.4 83.3
Wade Williams - 1 18.0 12.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 14.0 -103 -4.9 -19.9 71.4 50.0 0 1.4 85.7 85.7
Zeek Brown - 1 20.0 8.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 9.0 -81 -4.5 -27.3 60.0 33.3 100.0 -1.72 73.5 70.0
Clayton Moore - 1 22.0 8.0 8.0 4.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 22.0 -113 -5.4 -23.4 100.0 0 100.0 0.51 103.1 100.0
Ahmad Artis - 1 12.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 -21 -3.5 -155.1 40.0 100.0 25.0 -0.83 51.8 60.0
Roko Jurasovic - 1 7.8 7.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 8.0 -6 -0.5 -12.6 66.7 0 60.0 -0.85 67.3 66.7
Aurrion Harris - 1 24.3 6.0 5.0 7.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 5.0 13.0 -23 -1.0 -4.9 40.0 0.0 100.0 2.15 51.0 40.0
Matt Noll - 1 22.2 6.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 5.0 -48 -2.2 -8.7 37.5 0.0 0.0 0.31 35.5 37.5
Kai Smith - 1 21.3 6.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 10.0 -75 -3.3 -17.3 66.7 100.0 0 0.13 100.0 100.0
Wade Voss - 1 12.7 6.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 -65 -3.6 -59.7 75.0 0 0 -1.7 75.0 75.0
Eldon Turner - 1 21.2 4.0 2.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 9.0 -24 -1.0 -9.1 50.0 0 100.0 -2.22 69.4 50.0
Chiaki Momma - 1 13.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 -3.0 2 0.5 15.0 28.6 0.0 0 0.58 28.6 28.6
Evan Inselman - 1 7.8 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -15 -3.8 -90.7 100.0 100.0 0 -0.87 150.0 150.0
River Johnston - 1 25.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 -3.0 -101 -6.3 -70.1 12.5 0.0 0 -0.64 12.5 12.5

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG