🐻⬇️🏀

Hendrix

Also known as: Hendrix
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 922 (#403) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 967 (#444) HCA +95 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -36.8 (#588) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.007 (#663) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -35.0 More → 0.017 (#724) AdjNet -35.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -34.5 More → 0.016 (#725) AdjNet -34.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.9 | AdjD 88.7 More → 0.095 (#707) AdjO 63.9 | AdjD 88.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.8 | AdjD 83.7 More → 0.190 (#585) AdjO 67.8 | AdjD 83.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.074 (#587) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.091 (#588) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 2 More → 858 (#414) RD 350 | GP 2

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-18 @ Ark.-Monticello L 57 - 87
2025-11-20 @ Ark.-Fort Smith L 41 - 110

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Eli Lovelady - 1 15.2 8.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 2.0 - - - 37.5 40.0 0.0 - 45.0 50.0
Jaxon Herrera - 2 11.4 6.5 0.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 7.0 2.0 - - - 28.6 30.0 100.0 - 43.7 39.3
Aiden Knuckles - 2 16.0 4.0 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 3.5 - - - 50.0 100.0 50.0 - 58.1 58.3
Holden Plant - 2 16.7 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 6.5 -5.5 - - - 23.1 33.3 25.0 - 27.1 26.9
Kyle Roach - 2 16.1 4.0 0.5 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.5 5.5 -0.5 - - - 18.2 0.0 100.0 - 31.3 18.2
Walter Brinkley - 2 5.8 3.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 - - - 66.7 100.0 100.0 - 90.2 83.3
Corbin Dilday - 2 17.5 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.5 1.5 - - - 40.0 66.7 0 - 60.0 60.0
Zach Nolan - 2 11.2 3.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 2.5 2.5 - - - 40.0 40.0 0 - 60.0 60.0
Ty Jones - 2 11.6 2.5 1.5 0.5 1.5 0.0 3.0 4.5 -1.5 - - - 22.2 20.0 0 - 27.8 27.8
Colin Wade - 2 6.4 2.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.5 - - - 50.0 33.3 0 - 62.5 62.5
Hudson Baughman - 1 4.3 2.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 - - - 33.3 0 0.0 - 25.8 33.3
Joseph Dockett - 2 16.3 2.0 2.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 3.0 4.5 -1.5 - - - 22.2 0.0 0 - 22.2 22.2
Tyler Jackson - 2 14.8 2.0 1.5 2.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 5.5 -0.5 17 2.8 30.7 18.2 0.0 0 0.59 18.2 18.2
Charlie Bird - 2 6.7 1.5 3.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 2.5 2.5 - - - 20.0 25.0 0.0 - 27.6 30.0
De'lavone Page - 2 7.6 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 2.5 0.0 - - - 20.0 50.0 0 - 30.0 30.0
Lucas Marquez - 2 17.9 1.0 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.5 - - - 50.0 0 0.0 - 34.7 50.0
Christian Cheatham - 2 4.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.5 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG