Henderson State
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2019 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1190 (#36) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1220 (#33) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 966 (#528) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +19.5 (#22) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +9.5 (#220) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.491 (#366) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.887 (#214) | AdjNet +17.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.899 (#211) | AdjNet +18.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.754 (#209) | AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 64.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.526 (#296) | AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 67.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.666 (#218) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.635 (#237) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1060 (#181) | RD 103 | GP 19 |
2019 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-11-09 | @ | Southwest Baptist | W | 96 - 83 |
| 2018-11-10 | vs | Sioux Falls | W | 75 - 63 |
| 2018-11-16 | @ | Mo. Southern St. | L | 69 - 79 |
| 2018-11-21 | @ | Rogers St. | - | Preview |
| 2018-11-29 | @ | Southern Ark. | - | Preview |
| 2018-12-01 | @ | Arkansas Tech | - | Preview |
| 2018-12-04 | vs | Wiley | - | Preview |
| 2018-12-08 | vs | Harding | - | Preview |
| 2018-12-15 | vs | Ark.-Monticello | - | Preview |
| 2018-12-18 | @ | Southeastern Okla. | - | Preview |
| 2018-12-29 | vs | Midwestern St. | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-03 | @ | Okla. Baptist | W | 86 - 62 |
| 2019-01-05 | @ | Southern Nazarene | L | 74 - 85 |
| 2019-01-10 | vs | Northwestern Okla. | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-12 | vs | Southwestern Okla. | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-17 | @ | Ouachita Baptist | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-19 | vs | Arkansas Tech | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-24 | @ | East Central | L | 67 - 75 |
| 2019-01-31 | vs | Southern Nazarene | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-02 | vs | Okla. Baptist | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-07 | vs | Southern Ark. | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-09 | @ | Ark.-Monticello | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-14 | vs | Ouachita Baptist | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-16 | @ | Harding | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-21 | @ | Southwestern Okla. | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-23 | @ | Northwestern Okla. | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-28 | vs | Southeastern Okla. | - | Preview |
| 2019-03-02 | vs | East Central | - | Preview |
| 2019-03-08 | @ | Harding | - | Preview |
2019 Roster
No roster data available for this season.