Henderson State
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2016 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1190 (#36) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1220 (#33) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 966 (#528) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +19.5 (#22) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +9.5 (#220) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.491 (#366) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.887 (#214) | AdjNet +17.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.899 (#211) | AdjNet +18.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.754 (#209) | AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 64.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.526 (#296) | AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 67.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.666 (#218) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.635 (#237) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1060 (#181) | RD 103 | GP 19 |
2016 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-11-13 | @ | Southwest Baptist | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-14 | vs | Lincoln (MO) | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-19 | @ | Southern Nazarene | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-21 | @ | Okla. Baptist | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-24 | vs | Ark.-Fort Smith | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-28 | @ | Texas Woman's | L | 53 - 73 |
| 2015-12-03 | vs | East Central | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-05 | vs | Southeastern Okla. | W | 75 - 58 |
| 2015-12-12 | vs | Rogers St. | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-19 | @ | East Texas A&M | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-07 | @ | Southwestern Okla. | L | 87 - 97 |
| 2016-01-09 | @ | Northwestern Okla. | W | 82 - 64 |
| 2016-01-14 | @ | Southern Ark. | L | 70 - 78 |
| 2016-01-16 | @ | Ark.-Monticello | L | 54 - 77 |
| 2016-01-18 | vs | Ouachita Baptist | W | 82 - 69 |
| 2016-01-21 | vs | Arkansas Tech | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-23 | @ | Harding | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-28 | vs | Southern Nazarene | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-30 | vs | Okla. Baptist | L | 60 - 66 |
| 2016-02-04 | @ | East Central | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-06 | @ | Southeastern Okla. | L | 51 - 68 |
| 2016-02-11 | vs | Southern Ark. | L | 47 - 60 |
| 2016-02-13 | vs | Ark.-Monticello | W | 70 - 56 |
| 2016-02-15 | @ | Ouachita Baptist | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-18 | @ | Arkansas Tech | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-20 | vs | Harding | W | 80 - 67 |
| 2016-02-25 | vs | Southwestern Okla. | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-27 | vs | Northwestern Okla. | W | 76 - 65 |
| 2016-03-04 | @ | Southern Ark. | L | 71 - 80 |
2016 Roster
No roster data available for this season.