🐻⬇️🏀

Heidelberg

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Heidelberg
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1189 (#60) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1098 (#128) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 993 (#505) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +0.4 (#121) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -6.4 (#465) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.622 (#115) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.4 More → 0.625 (#69) AdjNet +4.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.2 More → 0.619 (#69) AdjNet +4.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 79.8 | AdjD 76.3 More → 0.578 (#69) AdjO 79.8 | AdjD 76.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.4 | AdjD 78.0 More → 0.442 (#526) AdjO 75.4 | AdjD 78.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.405 (#480) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.408 (#486) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 21 More → 1037 (#309) RD 99 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 @ Greensboro - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 vs Ohio Wesleyan - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 vs John Carroll - Incomplete score
2025-11-19 vs Bluffton - Incomplete score
2025-11-28 @ Calvin - Incomplete score
2025-11-29 @ Olivet - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 @ Trine - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 @ Wilmington (OH) - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 @ Otterbein - Incomplete score
2025-12-17 @ Hiram - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 vs Muskingum - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 @ Thiel - Incomplete score
2026-01-07 @ Ohio Northern - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs Marietta - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 vs Baldwin Wallace - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 @ Capital - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 vs Mount Union - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 vs Wilmington (OH) - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 vs Ohio Northern - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Muskingum - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 vs Otterbein - Incomplete score
2026-02-11 @ Mount Union L 67 - 85
2026-02-14 @ Marietta W 107 - 86
2026-02-18 @ Baldwin Wallace W 89 - 81
2026-02-21 vs Capital L 76 - 82
2026-02-24 @ Muskingum W 84 - 67
2026-02-26 @ Mount Union W 84 - 82
2026-02-28 vs Otterbein W 82 - 75
2026-03-06 @ Ill. Wesleyan L 51 - 62

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jarveil Gainey - 7 25.9 15.1 7.3 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 12.1 10.9 - - - - 45.9 50.0 77.8 - 57.0 54.1
Markell Johnson-Nichols - 26 33.8 14.3 5.9 3.5 1.3 0.5 1.8 8.8 15.0 - - - - 50.0 49.4 86.3 - 66.6 59.4
Marcos Vazquez - 7 30.8 13.7 4.3 4.4 0.3 0.0 3.6 10.0 9.1 - - - - 44.3 30.4 81.8 - 56.8 49.3
Elijah Harden - 19 30.4 13.7 4.5 5.0 0.6 0.1 3.5 10.0 10.5 - - - - 47.9 41.7 70.6 - 59.1 55.8
Trey Killens - 7 32.3 13.4 5.1 2.1 1.4 0.6 1.6 9.9 11.3 - - - - 52.2 38.5 70.6 - 61.5 59.4
Riley Gossom - 7 29.2 10.3 3.1 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.7 8.7 5.9 - - - - 39.3 21.9 81.0 - 51.3 45.1
Jaiden Guerra-Howard - 20 23.8 10.1 5.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 1.2 8.0 7.5 - - - - 49.1 33.8 70.6 - 58.1 56.0
Brady Bosma - 27 31.7 9.6 4.2 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.6 6.9 8.0 - - - - 46.0 35.4 85.2 - 61.2 56.7
Abba Lawal - 7 8.9 2.4 2.3 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.3 1.1 4.0 - - - - 87.5 0 100.0 - 91.2 87.5
Mason Wisniewski - 17 6.4 1.8 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.1 1.3 2.0 - - - - 59.1 0 66.7 - 60.9 59.1
Rayshawn Hubbard - 6 2.9 1.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 - - - - 75.0 50.0 50.0 - 82.0 87.5
LyDell Sewell - 5 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 - - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Connor Flood - 5 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 -0.2 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Jackson Beasley - 4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Darius Davis Jr. - 5 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kevin Reynald Jr. - 4 3.6 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 -0.2 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Xzander Ream - 5 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Trent Wininger - 1 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
AJ Adio - 5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Zay Everson - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jordan Hudson - 4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Dylan McGlinch - 4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Carter Pleiman - 1 2.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kobe Brown - 5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jalen Dandridge - 4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG