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Hawaii

Season: 2026 2021 2019 2018 2017 2015
Also known as: Hawaii
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1042 (#151) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1088 (#116) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1011 (#303) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -2.7 (#404) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.877 (#196) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +13.3 More → 0.904 (#136) NetEff +13.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +22.0 More → 0.927 (#180) AdjNet +22.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +20.4 More → 0.918 (#198) AdjNet +20.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.4 | AdjD 49.0 More → 0.738 (#218) AdjO 60.4 | AdjD 49.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 57.6 | AdjD 59.8 More → 0.450 (#467) AdjO 57.6 | AdjD 59.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.598 (#266) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.582 (#277) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 312 | GP 1 More → 1093 (#111) RD 312 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Saint Martin's - Incomplete score
2025-12-12 vs Hawaii Hilo - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.