Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1056 (#125) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1096 (#96) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1011 (#303) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -2.7 (#404) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.877 (#196) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.904 (#136) | NetEff +13.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.927 (#180) | AdjNet +22.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.918 (#198) | AdjNet +20.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.738 (#218) | AdjO 60.4 | AdjD 49.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.450 (#467) | AdjO 57.6 | AdjD 59.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.598 (#266) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.582 (#277) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1094 (#119) | RD 312 | GP 1 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Saint Martin's | W | 46 - 41 |
| 2025-12-12 | vs | Hawaii Hilo | W | 61 - 47 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Flavell | - | 2 | 27.8 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 7.5 | - | - | - | 55.0 | 20.0 | 50.0 | - | 57.5 | 57.5 |
| Imani Perez | - | 1 | 20.8 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 18.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | - | 116.3 | 116.7 |
| Jovi Lefotu | - | 1 | 20.1 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 58.1 | 50.0 |
| Keiara Curtis | - | 2 | 17.4 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 41.7 | 33.3 | 60.0 | - | 49.3 | 45.8 |
| Kyra Webb | - | 2 | 22.4 | 6.5 | 7.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 7.5 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 40.9 | 40.0 |
| Ritorya Tamilo | - | 1 | 14.7 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 0 | 0 | - | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Saniyah Neverson | - | 2 | 25.9 | 5.0 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | - | 56.3 | 56.2 |
| Teyahna Bond | - | 2 | 17.8 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | -4.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 25.0 | 0 | - | 45.0 | 45.0 |
| Jade Peacock | - | 2 | 8.2 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 42.5 | 40.0 |
| Izzy Forsyth | - | 2 | 12.2 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 20.0 | 100.0 | - | 42.5 | 30.0 |
| Kira-May Filemu | - | 2 | 20.6 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 7.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 14.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 14.3 | 14.3 |
| Ella Collins | - | 1 | 10.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | 44 | 2.3 | 15.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 1.65 | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Danijela Kujovic | - | 2 | 9.1 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Fiamma Serra | - | 2 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Rebecca Moors | - | 2 | 13.9 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG