Haverford
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1050 (#131) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1017 (#308) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 871 (#636) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -4.2 (#234) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -5.7 (#439) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.383 (#504) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.732 (#265) | NetEff +6.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.317 (#440) | AdjNet -6.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.301 (#443) | AdjNet -7.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.389 (#451) | AdjO 56.4 | AdjD 61.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.428 (#508) | AdjO 57.4 | AdjD 60.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.396 (#457) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.388 (#467) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 901 (#413) | RD 101 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Keystone | W | 86 - 42 |
| 2025-11-11 | vs | Rutgers-Camden | W | 72 - 54 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Elizabethtown | L | 104 - 115 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Neumann | W | 52 - 44 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Wilson | W | 62 - 45 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Ursinus | L | 52 - 80 |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | Penn St.-Berks | W | 82 - 34 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Penn St. Brandywine | W | 66 - 43 |
| 2025-12-28 | @ | Wis.-Stevens Point | L | 34 - 68 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Curry | W | 67 - 54 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Bryn Mawr | W | 57 - 47 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Ursinus | L | 73 - 83 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Dickinson | L | 42 - 60 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Muhlenberg | L | 55 - 69 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Washington Col. | L | 58 - 65 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Johns Hopkins | L | 50 - 83 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Swarthmore | L | 47 - 50 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | McDaniel | L | 37 - 57 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Orza | - | 18 | 34.6 | 18.7 | 7.8 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 13.9 | 13.3 | 110 | 5.0 | 30.4 | 44.0 | 33.6 | 76.8 | 1.1 | 57.2 | 52.0 |
| Audrey Jakway | - | 17 | 33.5 | 15.3 | 11.1 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 3.5 | 15.1 | 12.6 | 58 | 2.8 | 15.2 | 40.5 | 26.7 | 54.5 | 1.1 | 45.4 | 43.6 |
| Brianna Feifer | - | 17 | 32.3 | 9.4 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 10.6 | 6.4 | 104 | 5.0 | 29.2 | 30.4 | 28.0 | 81.4 | -0.55 | 39.8 | 34.3 |
| Bri Heafy | - | 2 | 15.4 | 8.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 5 | 2.5 | 12.7 | 54.5 | 60.0 | 50.0 | -0.06 | 67.3 | 68.2 |
| Shae Mercer | - | 17 | 34.0 | 7.2 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 7.6 | 7.4 | 25 | 1.2 | 7.1 | 39.2 | 25.7 | 64.7 | 0.54 | 44.4 | 42.7 |
| Bri Heafey | - | 16 | 26.3 | 5.2 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 6.4 | 2.3 | 70 | 3.7 | 39.6 | 25.2 | 23.9 | 58.3 | -1.86 | 35.3 | 30.6 |
| Cayla Menicola | - | 6 | 16.6 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 4.7 | 3.0 | 12 | 2.0 | 23.9 | 35.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.53 | 37.5 | 35.7 |
| Georgia Koff-Gilmore | - | 18 | 20.7 | 3.4 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 5.6 | 1.5 | 45 | 2.1 | 21.9 | 23.0 | 19.1 | 37.5 | -0.04 | 28.5 | 27.5 |
| Alyssa Aslam | - | 17 | 13.9 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 79 | 4.0 | 53.8 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.73 | 32.3 | 33.3 |
| Lily Zawisny | - | 5 | 5.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.2 | -12 | -2.4 | -29.4 | 33.3 | 0 | 33.3 | -2.27 | 34.2 | 33.3 |
| Urvi Iyer | - | 11 | 4.3 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 25 | 2.8 | 84.2 | 18.2 | 20.0 | 0 | -0.56 | 22.7 | 22.7 |
| Briana Pellew | - | 13 | 5.2 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 11 | 0.8 | 27.4 | 33.3 | 0 | 33.3 | -1.02 | 34.2 | 33.3 |
| Gracie Eilberg | - | 10 | 4.3 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 8 | 0.9 | 26.2 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.68 | 12.5 | 12.5 |
| Ashley Peterson | - | 2 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | -0.5 | -7 | -3.5 | -103.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.17 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG