Hastings - 2026 | Sports Data

Model Outputs

2025-2026

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More →	1042 (#143)	-
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More →	1050 (#194)	-
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More →	1034 (#184)	HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More →	+13.7 (#160)	HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.464 (#374)	-
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.0 More →	0.612 (#347)	AdjNet +4.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.5 More →	0.630 (#346)	AdjNet +4.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.7 \| AdjD 72.4 More →	0.553 (#354)	AdjO 74.7 \| AdjD 72.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.6 \| AdjD 64.6 More →	0.569 (#215)	AdjO 67.6 \| AdjD 64.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.684 (#194)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.659 (#221)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 261 \| GP 1 More →	1085 (#158)	RD 261 \| GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2025-12-31	@	Augustana (SD)	W	80 - 72

2026 Roster

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Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
Ann Bose	-	1	27.1	17.0	3.0	1.0	5.0	0.0	1.0	14.0	11.0	-	-	-	42.9	25.0	75.0	-	53.9	50.0
McKenna Yates	-	1	25.9	15.0	6.0	4.0	3.0	0.0	3.0	16.0	9.0	-	-	-	37.5	37.5	0	-	46.9	46.9
Mariyah Avila	-	1	24.7	13.0	3.0	0.0	2.0	0.0	0.0	11.0	7.0	-	-	-	45.5	16.7	100.0	-	54.7	50.0
Macy Bryant	-	1	27.8	11.0	3.0	2.0	2.0	1.0	0.0	10.0	9.0	-	-	-	40.0	25.0	66.7	-	48.6	45.0
Josilyn Miller	-	1	20.2	10.0	4.0	2.0	5.0	0.0	3.0	8.0	10.0	-	-	-	50.0	66.7	0	-	62.5	62.5
Adyson Mlnarik	-	1	15.9	7.0	0.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	5.0	3.0	-	-	-	60.0	33.3	0	-	70.0	70.0
Catelynn Bargen	-	1	12.2	4.0	4.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	1.0	6.0	-	-	-	100.0	0	100.0	-	106.4	100.0
Bailey Kissinger	-	1	21.7	2.0	1.0	3.0	1.0	0.0	1.0	6.0	0.0	-	-	-	16.7	0	0	-	16.7	16.7
Stella Heapy	-	1	10.7	1.0	0.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	1.0	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	50.0	-	26.6	0.0
Mikah O'Neill	-	1	13.7	0.0	2.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	2.0	-1.0	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	0.0	0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG