🐻⬇️🏀

Hartwick

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Hartwick
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1037 (#150) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 791 (#538) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 814 (#678) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -23.5 (#375) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -22.3 (#627) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.177 (#593) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -11.3 More → 0.150 (#470) NetEff -11.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -27.6 More → 0.039 (#617) AdjNet -27.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -28.2 More → 0.034 (#616) AdjNet -28.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 51.1 | AdjD 68.4 More → 0.171 (#611) AdjO 51.1 | AdjD 68.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 51.5 | AdjD 66.7 More → 0.201 (#665) AdjO 51.5 | AdjD 66.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.110 (#656) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.116 (#659) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 104 | GP 22 More → 743 (#514) RD 104 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-12 @ SUNY Oneonta W 65 - 61
2025-11-15 @ VTSU Castleton L 56 - 76
2025-11-16 vs Me.-Farmington L 64 - 75
2025-11-21 vs Hamilton L 23 - 75
2025-11-22 vs Eastern Conn. St. L 54 - 55
2025-11-25 @ SUNY Morrisville L 72 - 78
2025-12-03 @ Buffalo St. W 59 - 57
2025-12-14 vs SUNY Delhi W 65 - 33
2026-01-10 @ Keuka L 62 - 64
2026-01-13 vs Utica L 53 - 63
2026-01-16 vs Alfred L 47 - 60
2026-01-17 vs Houghton L 41 - 85
2026-01-23 vs St. John Fisher L 47 - 60
2026-01-24 vs Nazareth L 56 - 76
2026-01-27 vs Russell Sage L 63 - 68
2026-01-30 @ SUNY Geneseo L 35 - 68
2026-01-31 @ SUNY Brockport L 46 - 81
2026-02-06 vs Keuka L 51 - 53
2026-02-07 vs Elmira W 77 - 71

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Macy Durkin - 18 34.2 11.6 10.0 2.6 3.4 1.2 3.3 12.7 12.7 -193 -9.2 -34.7 39.3 22.2 40.0 -0.22 41.8 41.5
Emma Cohen - 19 29.1 11.3 2.4 1.9 1.3 0.6 3.4 10.9 3.2 -74 -3.4 -15.4 33.2 31.7 72.1 1.18 45.8 41.1
Ryleigh Endres - 6 18.6 11.0 2.3 1.0 1.3 0.0 3.5 7.8 4.3 - - - 40.4 38.5 72.0 - 56.9 51.1
Yadira Smith - 14 33.8 8.4 4.3 3.6 2.4 0.2 2.9 9.1 7.0 -146 -10.4 -26.1 27.6 22.9 69.8 -1.87 39.2 31.9
Jessica Bowens - 19 22.7 5.3 4.9 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.9 5.0 5.9 -44 -2.0 -12.9 41.1 0.0 50.0 2.18 43.8 41.1
Leah Schoonover - 17 22.1 4.0 2.0 1.4 0.6 0.2 2.2 5.7 0.3 -113 -5.7 -30.6 25.8 25.9 57.1 -1.45 34.0 33.0
Olivia Farnham - 14 12.2 3.1 2.5 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.9 2.4 3.2 -133 -7.8 -85.6 48.5 0.0 50.0 -3.43 50.4 48.5
Trinity Thornton - 19 11.4 2.8 1.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 1.1 3.2 1.1 -8 -0.4 -5.1 31.7 9.5 60.9 -1.66 38.5 33.3
Meghan Paul - 19 17.8 2.5 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.6 4.7 -0.9 -115 -5.2 -35.4 19.1 15.5 50.0 -3.7 25.7 24.2
Niamh Kelly - 16 9.4 2.0 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.1 2.6 0.4 -6 -0.3 -4.4 36.6 7.7 100.0 0.18 38.6 37.8
Brianna Barton - 4 5.5 1.8 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.2 - - - 75.0 100.0 0 - 87.5 87.5
Kylie Guarino - 16 6.7 1.6 1.9 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.4 2.1 1.8 -37 -1.9 -43.5 32.4 0 75.0 -2.32 35.0 32.4
Natalie Vredenburgh - 19 9.1 1.3 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 1.2 1.4 0.8 -74 -3.4 -50.4 25.9 28.6 44.4 -1.12 34.4 29.6
Caleigh Richards - 3 4.3 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.7 1.3 - - - 50.0 0 100.0 - 69.4 50.0
Sophia DiCalogero - 14 8.0 1.1 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.9 2.1 -0.4 -60 -3.5 -72.0 13.8 0.0 50.0 -0.58 21.3 13.8
Alexa Voland - 10 3.7 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.3 0.8 -0.4 2 0.2 5.3 25.0 0.0 66.7 -0.1 37.6 25.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG