Hartwick
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 960 (#229) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 843 (#316) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 842 (#725) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -17.6 (#344) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -19.9 (#684) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.186 (#356) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.035 (#379) | AdjNet -28.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.033 (#378) | AdjNet -29.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.122 (#376) | AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 87.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.263 (#701) | AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 81.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.156 (#707) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.165 (#706) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 775 (#565) | RD 103 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | @ | SUNY Cobleskill | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | SUNY Oneonta | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | St. Joseph's (L.I.) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Stevenson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Marywood | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Saint Elizabeth | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-02 | vs | SUNY Morrisville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Bard | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Fredonia | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-06 | @ | SUNY Poly | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-09 | @ | Elmira | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Keuka | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | Utica | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | Alfred | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Houghton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | St. John Fisher | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Nazareth | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-27 | vs | Russell Sage | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | SUNY Geneseo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | SUNY Brockport | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-06 | vs | Keuka | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Elmira | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-13 | @ | Houghton | W | 80 - 56 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ | Alfred | W | 74 - 72 |
| 2026-02-17 | @ | Russell Sage | L | 71 - 89 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Gitz | - | 22 | 25.8 | 12.5 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 9.9 | 6.7 | - | - | - | - | 40.8 | 41.0 | 82.8 | - | 59.6 | 57.6 |
| Raphael Anyia | - | 20 | 24.6 | 8.9 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 7.1 | 5.5 | - | - | - | - | 41.5 | 36.4 | 78.9 | - | 53.6 | 47.2 |
| John Bangel | - | 22 | 15.0 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 4.0 | - | - | - | - | 46.5 | 38.5 | 52.8 | - | 52.7 | 51.5 |
| Xymier Thomas | - | 22 | 15.4 | 5.1 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 3.2 | 6.8 | - | - | - | - | 56.3 | 0.0 | 67.3 | - | 61.0 | 56.3 |
| Cosmo Hardinson | - | 22 | 13.9 | 3.9 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 3.1 | 2.8 | - | - | - | - | 47.8 | 27.8 | 66.7 | - | 54.3 | 51.4 |
| Shane Micallef | - | 14 | 11.4 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 3.2 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | 24.4 | 6.7 | 64.3 | - | 31.3 | 25.6 |
| Malachi Polson | - | 19 | 7.8 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 2.5 | 0.6 | - | - | - | - | 27.1 | 29.7 | 55.6 | - | 40.4 | 38.5 |
| Jackson Frame | - | 17 | 8.8 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 3.4 | - | - | - | - | 71.4 | 33.3 | 57.1 | - | 72.7 | 73.8 |
| Vincent Payne | - | 9 | 5.1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 0.9 | - | - | - | - | 36.8 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 47.4 | 47.4 |
| Joe Bangel | - | 7 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | 25.0 | 25.0 | 0 | - | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Miles Burton | - | 3 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Joey McLaurin | - | 1 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG