Hartford Hawks
Model Outputs
1999-2000
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 759 (#266) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 841 (#259) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 917 (#253) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -12.6 (#287) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -12.8 (#289) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.252 (#260) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.132 (#280) | AdjNet -16.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.129 (#280) | AdjNet -16.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.264 (#286) | AdjO 67.0 | AdjD 78.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.322 (#283) | AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 77.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.231 (#277) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.242 (#277) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 844 (#252) | RD 148 | GP 29 |
2000 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999-11-19 | @ | Sacred Heart | W | 96 - 93 |
| 1999-11-22 | @ | Siena | L | 75 - 82 |
| 1999-11-29 | @ | Boston College | L | 62 - 104 |
| 1999-12-02 | vs | Quinnipiac | W | 85 - 76 |
| 1999-12-03 | N | Central Connecticut State | L | 61 - 64 |
| 1999-12-09 | @ | Towson | L | 58 - 72 |
| 1999-12-11 | @ | Miami (FL) | L | 61 - 97 |
| 1999-12-29 | @ | Syracuse | L | 69 - 90 |
| 2000-01-04 | vs | Vermont | L | 67 - 69 |
| 2000-01-08 | vs | Maine | L | 71 - 76 |
| 2000-01-10 | vs | New Hampshire | W | 79 - 59 |
| 2000-01-14 | @ | Drexel | W | 60 - 58 |
| 2000-01-16 | @ | Hofstra | L | 72 - 81 |
| 2000-01-20 | vs | Boston University | W | 68 - 60 |
| 2000-01-23 | vs | Northeastern | W | 76 - 70 |
| 2000-01-26 | vs | Holy Cross | L | 65 - 78 |
| 2000-01-29 | @ | Vermont | L | 83 - 87 |
| 2000-01-31 | vs | Harvard | W | 75 - 48 |
| 2000-02-03 | @ | New Hampshire | W | 84 - 71 |
| 2000-02-05 | @ | Maine | L | 70 - 104 |
| 2000-02-10 | vs | Hofstra | L | 58 - 92 |
| 2000-02-12 | vs | Drexel | L | 61 - 72 |
| 2000-02-14 | @ | Delaware | L | 72 - 90 |
| 2000-02-17 | @ | Northeastern | L | 61 - 77 |
| 2000-02-19 | @ | Boston University | L | 64 - 75 |
| 2000-02-24 | vs | Towson | W | 79 - 77 |
| 2000-02-26 | vs | Delaware | L | 61 - 89 |
| 2000-03-03 | N | New Hampshire | W | 117 - 88 |
| 2000-03-04 | N | Maine | L | 63 - 80 |
2000 Roster
No roster data available for this season.